Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Jones
- Referee Darren England
- Referee James Mainwaring
- Referee John Flynn
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Nov | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Oct | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Aston Villa FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #8 |
| 55 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 51 | Scored | 67 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 33% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at .
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Harry Wilson suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Tom Huddlestone has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 385 appearances.
- 21' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 21.
- 24' Sam Clucas puts Stoke City FC on the lead.
- 29' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a Red card on 33.
- 34' Joe Allen was booked on 34.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Erik Pieters is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 44' It’s high time Gary Rowett made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Curtis Davies is replaced by Fikayo Tomori.
- 46' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Bradley Johnson is replaced by Tom Huddlestone.
- 50' What a strike from Harry Wilson! The score is 1-1.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Lampard will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' Tom Ince makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Stoke City FC are in front.
- 69' Joe Allen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 71' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Martyn Waghorn on, Craig Bryson off on 71 minutes.
- 74' A moment of madness from Jack Marriott on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 74' Stoke City FC make a change. Sam Clucas trudges off to be replaced by James McClean on 74 minutes.
- 79' Ryan Woods has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
- 80' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Saido Berahino is replaced by Benik Afobe on 80 minute.
- 85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 90' The crowd applauds Tom Ince as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Edwards steps in for Stoke City FC.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 38
- 5
- 23
- 3
- 17
- 4
-
19
Saido Berahino ↓ Benik Afobe 80'
-
22
Sam Clucas ↓ James McClean 74'
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Thomas Edwards 90'
Bench
-
9
Benik Afobe ↑ 80'
-
30
Thomas Edwards ↑ 90'
- 15
- 24
- 25
-
11
James McClean ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
33
Curtis Davies C ↓ Fikayo Tomori 45'
- 37
- 15
- 10
-
4
Craig Bryson ↓ Martyn Waghorn 71'
- 14
- 8
- 46
- 7
Bench
- 21
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↑ 46'
- 41
- 28
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 71'
- 11
-
5
Fikayo Tomori ↑ 45'
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2018-11-28
Stoke City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2018-11-24
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2018-11-10
Derby County FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
L
2018-11-03
Derby County FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2018-10-27
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2018-10-24
West Bromwich Albion FC
1–4
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.