Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Alan Clayton
- Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse
6 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 10.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Peterborough United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Oxford United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Carlisle United FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' What composure from James Collins! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' Thomas Barkhuizen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jon Mellish is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 43' The 30-year-old Sam Lavelle has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 48' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 53' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 61' Derby County FC ring the changes. Martyn Waghorn has done his job and it is now time for Kane Wilson to step up.
- 66' Carlisle United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 68' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Luke Plange is replaced by Terry Ablade.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Joe Garner. He replaces Jon Mellish on 69 minute.
- 74' Scotland international Craig Forsyth has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eiran Cashin on 75 minutes.
- 77' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Ryan Edmondson comes on to replace Jack Armer.
- 80' Conor Washington is replacing Nathaniel Mendez-Laing for the Derby County FC side.
- 84' What a moment for James Collins! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 89' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Jon Mellish ↓ Joe Garner 69'
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Jack Robinson 77'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
3
Jack Armer ↓ Ryan Edmondson 77'
- 25
- 2
-
27
Luke Plange ↓ Terry Ablade 68'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
9
Ryan Edmondson ↑ 77'
- 1
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 69'
- 17
- 10
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 77'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 68'
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Kane Wilson 61'
- 11
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 17
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 80'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 61'
- 5
- 13
- 20
- 26
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 77'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-02
Carlisle United FC
2–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-08-26
Port Vale FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-09-16
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-26
Peterborough United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-19
Derby County FC
1–0
Fleetwood Town FC
W
2023-08-15
Derby County FC
1–2
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Carlisle United FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.