Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Alan Clayton
- Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 5.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Peterborough United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Oxford United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Carlisle United FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Brunton Park.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Carlisle United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 18' GOAL! James Collins scores on 18. Assisted by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
- 23' Jack Armer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 28' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Owen Moxon suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 48' Jordan Gibson, a England forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' Kane Wilson is replacing Martyn Waghorn for the Derby County FC side.
- 66' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 68' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 68 minute. Luke Plange leaves to be changed by Terry Ablade.
- 69' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Jon Mellish has done his job and it is now time for Joe Garner to step up.
- 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Eiran Cashin is booked for Derby County FC — card on 75.
- 77' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Ryan Edmondson comes on to replace Jack Armer.
- 80' Another change for Derby County FC made on 80 minute. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing leaves to be changed by Conor Washington.
- 84' A goal from the Ireland international James Collins! He fires home on 84 to make it 0-2!
- 89' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' A moment of madness from Sam Lavelle on 90 minutes earns him a card. Carlisle United FC will be frustrated.
- Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Jon Mellish ↓ Joe Garner 69'
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Jack Robinson 77'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
3
Jack Armer ↓ Ryan Edmondson 77'
- 25
- 2
-
27
Luke Plange ↓ Terry Ablade 68'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
9
Ryan Edmondson ↑ 77'
- 1
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 69'
- 17
- 10
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 77'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 68'
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Kane Wilson 61'
- 11
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 17
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 80'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 61'
- 5
- 13
- 20
- 26
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 77'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-02
Carlisle United FC
2–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-08-26
Port Vale FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-09-16
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-26
Peterborough United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-19
Derby County FC
1–0
Fleetwood Town FC
W
2023-08-15
Derby County FC
1–2
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Carlisle United FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.