Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Coy
- Assistant 1 Alan Clayton
- Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Sep | Stevenage FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Exeter City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Peterborough United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | Fleetwood Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Oxford United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Brunton Park will turn into a battlefield for Carlisle United FC and Derby County FC.
- 5' Kane Wilson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 18' GOAL! James Collins scores on 18. Assisted by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
- 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Lavelle, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Fin Back has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Callum Guy has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 48' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 58' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
- 61' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Wilson is hanging Martyn Waghorn on the field on 61 minute.
- 66' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 68' It is a substitution in Carlisle United FC team. Luke Plange is replaced by Terry Ablade on 68 minute.
- 69' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Garner is hanging Jon Mellish on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 75' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 77' The whistle greets Jack Armer as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Edmondson.
- 80' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Conor Washington.
- 84' Goal! James Collins scores his 91 goal in 382 matches.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Sam Lavelle.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Jon Mellish ↓ Joe Garner 69'
-
24
Sean Maguire ↓ Jack Robinson 77'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
3
Jack Armer ↓ Ryan Edmondson 77'
- 25
- 2
-
27
Luke Plange ↓ Terry Ablade 68'
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
9
Ryan Edmondson ↑ 77'
- 1
-
14
Joe Garner ↑ 69'
- 17
- 10
-
19
Jack Robinson ↑ 77'
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 68'
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Kane Wilson 61'
- 11
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 17
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 80'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 61'
- 5
- 13
- 20
- 26
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 77'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
L
2023-09-16
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-09
Stevenage FC
2–2
Carlisle United FC
D
2023-09-02
Carlisle United FC
2–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-08-26
Port Vale FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-08-19
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Exeter City FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2023-09-23
Carlisle United FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2023-09-16
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-09-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-26
Peterborough United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-19
Derby County FC
1–0
Fleetwood Town FC
W
2023-08-15
Derby County FC
1–2
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Carlisle United FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
12.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.