Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shrewsbury Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Montgomery Waters Meadow 8,088 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Hourihane og 56' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
14 Oct Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Oxford United FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Shrewsbury Town FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Montgomery Waters Meadow.
  • 5' Shrewsbury Town FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 10' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Joe Wildsmith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Sonny Bradley has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Shrewsbury Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shrewsbury Town FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Eiran Cashin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 385 appearances.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Tyrese Fornah as he leaves the pitch. Conor Hourihane steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 51' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Conor Hourihane makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 61' Max Bird, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' Derby County FC make a change. Korey Smith trudges off to be replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 64 minutes.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 79' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Tom Flanagan. He receives a card.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Sonny Bradley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Craig Forsyth makes way for Sonny Bradley at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC43% Draw31% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Shrewsbury Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Shrewsbury Town FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Shrewsbury Town FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shrewsbury Town FC26% Draw55% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Shrewsbury Town FC

Handicap Shrewsbury Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 18% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.