Thursday , 1 October 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Completely-Suzuki Stadium 5,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robert Street 39' 1–0
1–1 45+7' Curtis Nelson
Tom Bradbury 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Completely-Suzuki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Wright
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Kane (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Stevenage FC H 0–3 L
19 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
16 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Cheltenham Town FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Completely-Suzuki Stadium.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cheltenham Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Wildsmith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' Another substitution for Cheltenham Town FC to replace Sean Long by Tom Bradbury on 18 minute.
  • 23' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Conor Washington has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 38' Cheltenham Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' What a moment for Robert Street! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Max Bird is replacing Tyrese Fornah for the Derby County FC side.
  • 51' Korey Smith is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 52' Curtis Nelson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 57' Cheltenham Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 60' The Cheltenham Town FC manager makes a substitution. James Olayinka departs to be replaced by Jovan Malcolm.
  • 61' Josh Williams gets the nod from Cheltenham Town FC. He replaces Liam Smith and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Kane Wilson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cheltenham Town FC so far.
  • 67' Another change for Derby County FC made on 67 minute. Martyn Waghorn leaves to be changed by Conor Hourihane.
  • 68' Derby County FC make a change. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing trudges off to be replaced by Kane Wilson on 68 minutes.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Tom Bradbury. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Aidan Keena is replacing Will Goodwin for the Cheltenham Town FC side.
  • 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Elliot Bonds made 145 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 82' Conor Washington is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thomas Barkhuizen at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' Over 87 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC20% Draw48% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.