Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Completely-Suzuki Stadium 5,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robert Street 39' 1–0
1–1 45+7' Curtis Nelson
Tom Bradbury 70' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Stevenage FC H 0–3 L
19 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
16 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC20% Draw48% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.