Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Completely-Suzuki Stadium 5,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robert Street 39' 1–0
1–1 45+7' Curtis Nelson
Tom Bradbury 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Completely-Suzuki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Wright
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Kane (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
30 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Stevenage FC H 0–3 L
19 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
16 Sep Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Completely-Suzuki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' James Collins needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 18' Tom Bradbury has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sean Long on 18 minute.
  • 23' It looks surprising Cheltenham Town FC does not make any changes. Liam Sercombe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Hourihane made 355 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Cheltenham Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Robert Street on 39.
  • 44' It’s high time Wade Elliott made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Another change for Derby County FC made on 46 minute. Tyrese Fornah leaves to be changed by Max Bird.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' GOAL! Curtis Nelson scores on 45.
  • 57' Cheltenham Town FC is showing some good football. However, Cheltenham Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Jovan Malcolm. He replaces James Olayinka on 60 minute.
  • 61' The whistle greets Liam Smith as he departs to be replaced by Josh Williams.
  • 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Martyn Waghorn by Conor Hourihane on 67 minute.
  • 68' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Kane Wilson.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Cheltenham Town FC player. Tom Bradbury gets a card.
  • 73' The Cheltenham Town FC manager makes a substitution. Will Goodwin departs to be replaced by Aidan Keena.
  • 78' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 82' Conor Washington is replacing Thomas Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
  • 87' Martyn Waghorn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC20% Draw48% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.