Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Cambridge United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cambridge United FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Ollie Williams

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
16 Sep Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
26 Aug Peterborough United FC A 4–2 W
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Derby County FC A 0–0 D
23 Sep Port Vale FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Wigan Athletic FC A 1–2 L
04 Sep Reading FC H 1–0 W
26 Aug Leyton Orient FC A 0–2 L
19 Aug Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Curtis Nelson made 366 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Cambridge United FC is showing some good football. However, Cambridge United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Korey Smith has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 48 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' It looks surprising Cambridge United FC does not make any changes. Michael Morrison has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Danny Andrew needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Wildsmith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiran Cashin, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 75' The travelling Cambridge United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Cambridge United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 85' Cambridge United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
  • The final score is 0-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 Cambridge United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC48% Draw32% Cambridge United FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Cambridge United FC
52%
Derby County FC or Cambridge United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw58% Cambridge United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
18.1%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cambridge United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.