Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Derby County FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Cheltenham Town FC

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,014 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 50' Liam Sercombe

Max Bird 60' 1–1

James Collins 81' 2–1

Y 55' Lewis Freestone

Y 70' Sean Long

Kane Wilson 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Cheltenham Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty
Assistant 1 Rob Smith
Assistant 2 Adam Crysell

3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 24.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Cheltenham Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 Derby County FC 2–1 Cheltenham Town FC 2023-10-07 Cheltenham Town FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2023-02-28 Derby County FC 2–0 Cheltenham Town FC 2023-01-14 Cheltenham Town FC 2–3 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Cheltenham Town FC	H	2–1	W
23 Jan	Reading FC	A	0–1	L
20 Jan	Lincoln City FC	A	0–0	D
15 Jan	Burton Albion FC	H	3–2	W
06 Jan	Fleetwood Town FC	A	3–1	W
01 Jan	Peterborough United FC	H	2–3	L

Cheltenham Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Derby County FC	A	1–2	L
23 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	0–1	L
06 Jan	Portsmouth FC	H	2–1	W
01 Jan	Northampton Town FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Reading FC	H	2–2	D
26 Dec	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Cheltenham Town FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darrell Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
15' Cheltenham Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' Kane Wilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 65 appearances.
25' It looks surprising Cheltenham Town FC does not make any changes. Josh Harrop has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
45' Josh Vickers has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' Cheltenham Town FC ring the changes. Robert Street has done his job and it is now time for Aidan Keena to step up.
50' What a strike from Liam Sercombe! The score is 0-1.
55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lewis Freestone on 55.
60' A stunning finish from Max Bird — that came from absolutely nowhere!
63' Another change for Derby County FC made on 63 minute. Thomas Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by Sonny Bradley.
64' Derby County FC ring the changes. Corey Blackett-Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Liam Thompson to step up.
65' Elliot Bonds makes way for Josh Harrop at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cheltenham Town FC.
70' Cheltenham Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
75' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
77' The crowd applauds Tom Pett as he leaves the pitch. Curtis Thompson steps in for Cheltenham Town FC.
81' A goal from the Ireland international James Collins! He fires home on 81 to make it 2-1!
84' The crowd applauds Will Ferry as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Butler-Oyedeji steps in for Cheltenham Town FC.
89' Controversy at the stadium! Kane Wilson argues furiously but the card stands.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 2-1 Cheltenham Town FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Max Bird
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Tyrese Fornah 63'
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↓ Liam Thompson 64'
2
Kane Wilson
35
Curtis Nelson
31
Josh Vickers
9
James Collins
17
Louie Sibley
6
Eiran Cashin
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↓ Sonny Bradley 63'

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Cheltenham Town FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Curtis Davies
8
Liam Sercombe ↓ Liam Kinsella 65'
6
Lewis Freestone
2
Sean Long
1
Luke Southwood
5
Andy Smith
15
Will Ferry ↓ Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 84'
11
Robert Street ↓ Aidan Keena 46'
23
Elliot Bonds ↓ Josh Harrop 65'
19
George Lloyd
34
Tom Pett ↓ Curtis Thompson 77'

Bench

7
Liam Kinsella ↑ 65'
14
Curtis Thompson ↑ 77'
10
Aidan Keena ↑ 46'
22
Liam Smith
21
James Pardington
38
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji ↑ 84'
25
Josh Harrop ↑ 65'

Coach Darrell Clarke

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Max Bird	2
James Collins	1
Liam Sercombe	1
David McGoldrick	1
Lewis Dobbin	1
Tom Barkhuizen	1
Conor Hourihane	1
Alfie May	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2024-01-27 Derby County FC 2–1 Cheltenham Town FC W 2024-01-23 Reading FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2024-01-20 Lincoln City FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-01-15 Derby County FC 3–2 Burton Albion FC W 2024-01-06 Fleetwood Town FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2024-01-01 Derby County FC 2–3 Peterborough United FC L

Cheltenham Town FC Form

2024-01-27 Derby County FC 2–1 Cheltenham Town FC L 2024-01-23 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Cheltenham Town FC L 2024-01-06 Cheltenham Town FC 2–1 Portsmouth FC W 2024-01-01 Northampton Town FC 1–0 Cheltenham Town FC L 2023-12-29 Cheltenham Town FC 2–2 Reading FC D 2023-12-26 Cheltenham Town FC 2–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.64 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 Cheltenham Town FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC53% Draw25% Cheltenham Town FC22%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Cheltenham Town FC

47%

Derby County FC or Cheltenham Town FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC35% Draw46% Cheltenham Town FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

3 – 0

4.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.