Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,014 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Liam Sercombe
Max Bird 60' 1–1
James Collins 81' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2 Adam Crysell

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Derby County FC A 1–2 L
23 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
06 Jan Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Reading FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 393 games and scored 459 goals.
  • 20' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' England international George Lloyd has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Liam Kinsella is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 40' Josh Harrop needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Robert Street as he leaves the pitch. Aidan Keena steps in for Cheltenham Town FC.
  • 50' The deadlock is broken! Liam Sercombe gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Freestone.
  • 60' What a moment for Max Bird! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Sonny Bradley. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 63 minute.
  • 64' Another change for Derby County FC made on 64 minute. Corey Blackett-Taylor leaves to be changed by Liam Thompson.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Cheltenham Town FC. Elliot Bonds is replaced by Josh Harrop.
  • 70' Sean Long has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 75' The travelling Cheltenham Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Cheltenham Town FC — Curtis Thompson on, Tom Pett off on 77 minutes.
  • 81' GOAL! James Collins fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 84' Cheltenham Town FC ring the changes. Will Ferry has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Butler-Oyedeji to step up.
  • 89' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC53% Draw25% Cheltenham Town FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
47%
Derby County FC or Cheltenham Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC35% Draw46% Cheltenham Town FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.