Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 26,623 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jack Hunt og 66' 1–0
1–1 87' Chris Martin

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Steve Durnall (England)
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Derby County FC A 1–2 L
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
  • 5' Jevani Brown has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Bristol Rovers FC's compact .
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joshua Grant suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Matthew Cox, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Max Bird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Bristol Rovers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Barkhuizen made 393 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Tyrese Fornah. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 62 minute.
  • 66' The deadlock is broken! Jack Hunt gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
  • 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 73' The crowd applauds George Friend as he leaves the pitch. Jevani Brown steps in for Bristol Rovers FC.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Sonny Bradley. He replaces Max Bird on 74 minute.
  • 79' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — James Collins exits the field as Martyn Waghorn enters on 81.
  • 86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' Chris Martin does the damage! The net is bulging and Bristol Rovers FC surge ahead!
  • 90' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC50% Draw26% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
50%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw46% Bristol Rovers FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.