Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Lamex Stadium.
- Stevenage FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1 Stuart Butler
- Assistant 2 Adrian Tranter
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Port Vale FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Stevenage FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | Exeter City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Cheltenham Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | Blackpool FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Cambridge United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Lamex Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 156 games and scored 133 goals.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 11' It’s gonna be a card for Eiran Cashin.
- 16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' The referee calls foul for Craig Forsyth. He receives a card.
- 32' Jordan Roberts puts Stevenage FC on the lead.
- 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 38' Goal! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scores his 29 goal in 372 matches.
- 43' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' Another change for Derby County FC made on 46 minute. Craig Forsyth leaves to be changed by Sonny Bradley.
- 47' Sensational shot from Alexander MacDonald. Stevenage FC is back in the lead.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' The Stevenage FC manager makes a substitution. Alexander MacDonald departs to be replaced by Nathan Thompson.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Jamie Reid. He receives a card.
- 61' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kane Wilson is replaced by James Collins.
- 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Reid suffering a number of foals already.
- 68' Another substitution for Stevenage FC to replace Elliott List by Louis Thompson on 68 minute.
- 71' Stevenage FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dan Butler, as he is very good at scoring at Lamex Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 81' It is a substitution in Stevenage FC team. Jordan Roberts is replaced by Kane Hemmings on 81 minute.
- 84' What a strike from Kane Hemmings! The score is 3-1.
- 89' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- With this win, Stevenage FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Stevenage FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 3
-
11
Jordan Roberts ↓ Kane Hemmings 81'
-
9
Elliott List ↓ Louis Thompson 68'
- 7
- 15
- 2
- 5
- 1
- 17
- 10
Bench
-
29
Kane Hemmings ↑ 81'
- 24
-
4
Nathan Thompson ↑ 57'
- 14
-
23
Louis Thompson ↑ 68'
- 26
- 12
Coach
Steve Evans
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Sonny Bradley 46'
- 8
- 11
- 14
- 4
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ James Collins 61'
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Joe Ward 81'
- 35
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Korey Smith 46'
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 46'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 81'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 61'
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 46'
- 22
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 68'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jordan Roberts | 1 |
| Alexander MacDonald | 1 |
| Louie Sibley | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Kane Hemmings | 1 |
Head to Head
Stevenage FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stevenage FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Stevenage FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Stevenage FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stevenage FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC
| Handicap | Stevenage FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.