Tuesday , 18 August 2026

Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Lamex Stadium 5,866 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jordan Roberts 32' 1–0
Alexander MacDonald 45+2' 2–1
Kane Hemmings 84' 3–1

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Stevenage FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Derby County FC H 3–1 W
24 Oct Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
21 Oct Port Vale FC H 0–0 D
14 Oct Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
07 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Lamex Stadium!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Max Bird has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 11' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Eiran Cashin gets a card.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Evans will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Washington, as he is very good at scoring at Lamex Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Craig Forsyth.
  • 32' Brilliant from the ! Jordan Roberts makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 37' Elliott List is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stevenage FC tonight.
  • 38' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 43' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Another change for Derby County FC made on 46 minute. Craig Forsyth leaves to be changed by Sonny Bradley.
  • 47' Goal! Alexander MacDonald scores his 5 goal in 109 matches.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' A tactical swap from Stevenage FCNathan Thompson on, Alexander MacDonald off on 57 minutes.
  • 59' Stevenage FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Derby County FCJames Collins on, Kane Wilson off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Ryan Nyambe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' Stevenage FC ring the changes. Elliott List has done his job and it is now time for Louis Thompson to step up.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carl Piergianni on 71.
  • 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Stevenage FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Kane Hemmings. He replaces Jordan Roberts on 81 minute.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Kane Hemmings gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stevenage FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • With this win, Stevenage FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC54% Draw25% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Stevenage FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC39% Draw45% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Stevenage FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.