Saturday , 14 November 2026

Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Lamex Stadium 5,866 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jordan Roberts 32' 1–0
Alexander MacDonald 45+2' 2–1
Kane Hemmings 84' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Lamex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Butler
  • Assistant 2 Adrian Tranter
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Stevenage FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Derby County FC H 3–1 W
24 Oct Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
21 Oct Port Vale FC H 0–0 D
14 Oct Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
07 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/5
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Josh Magennis 3 G 4 A
Daniel Kemp 3 G 2 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Stevenage FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eiran Cashin on 11.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 26' Conor Washington has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' A moment of madness from Craig Forsyth on 30 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 32' Brilliant from the ! Jordan Roberts makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stevenage FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 38' Brilliant from the forward! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 38.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stevenage FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' The whistle greets Craig Forsyth as he departs to be replaced by Sonny Bradley.
  • 47' The Scotland Alexander MacDonald breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-1!
  • 52' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathan Thompson is hanging Alexander MacDonald on the field on 57 minute.
  • 59' Jamie Reid picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Kane Wilson departs to be replaced by James Collins.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' The Stevenage FC bench stirs into life. Elliott List is withdrawn and Louis Thompson gets his opportunity.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Carl Piergianni on 71 minutes earns him a card. Stevenage FC will be frustrated.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 167 games and scored 148 goals.
  • 81' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Hemmings is hanging Jordan Roberts on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' The England Kane Hemmings breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 3-1!
  • 89' Nick Freeman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 167 appearances.
  • Another three points for Stevenage FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC54% Draw25% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Stevenage FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC39% Draw45% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Stevenage FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.