Croatia vs Wales, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Croatia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.12
Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Croatia or Wales 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Croatia or Draw
67%
Draw or Wales
64%
Croatia or Wales
69%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Croatia
| Handicap | Croatia covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Wales keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.