Northern Ireland vs Croatia, 2017

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League Two 2017/18 · 2017

Northern Ireland

1 – 0

Full Time

Croatia

Mon 1 Jan 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Northern Ireland vs Croatia — Premier League .

Northern Ireland 0 games · 0 pts
Croatia 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Northern Ireland 1.75

Draw 3.79

Croatia 5.25

Head-to-Head

Northern Ireland 6 games · Avg 1.2 goals Croatia

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-01 Northern Ireland 1–0 Croatia 2017-09-02 Croatia 0–0 Northern Ireland 2017-01-14 Croatia 1–0 Northern Ireland 2016-11-01 Northern Ireland 2–0 Croatia 2015-12-27 Croatia 1–1 Northern Ireland

Recent Form

Northern Ireland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Croatia	H	1–0	W
30 Dec	Russia	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	Germany	A	0–1	L
22 Dec	Slovakia	H	3–2	W
16 Dec	Portugal	H	2–1	W
09 Dec	Hungary	A	0–2	L

Croatia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Northern Ireland	A	0–1	L
30 Dec	Wales	H	0–0	D
26 Dec	Ukraine	H	0–2	L
23 Dec	Iceland	A	1–5	L
16 Dec	Slovakia	A	0–1	L
09 Dec	Belgium	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Croatia gets underway.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Northern Ireland Lineups

Croatia Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Northern Ireland Form

2018-01-01 Northern Ireland 1–0 Croatia W 2017-12-30 Russia 0–1 Northern Ireland W 2017-12-26 Germany 1–0 Northern Ireland L 2017-12-22 Northern Ireland 3–2 Slovakia W 2017-12-16 Northern Ireland 2–1 Portugal W 2017-12-09 Hungary 2–0 Northern Ireland L

Croatia Form

2018-01-01 Northern Ireland 1–0 Croatia L 2017-12-30 Croatia 0–0 Wales D 2017-12-26 Croatia 0–2 Ukraine L 2017-12-23 Iceland 5–1 Croatia L 2017-12-16 Slovakia 1–0 Croatia L 2017-12-09 Croatia 2–1 Belgium W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.45 Northern Ireland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.79 Croatia xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Northern Ireland54% Draw27% Croatia19%

Actual: Northern Ireland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Northern Ireland or Draw

81%

Draw or Croatia

46%

Northern Ireland or Croatia

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Northern Ireland35% Draw51% Croatia14%

Actual: Northern Ireland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13%

0 – 0

12.9%

2 – 0

10.8%

2 – 1

8.6%

0 – 1

7.3%

3 – 0

5.1%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

3.5%

0 – 2

3.2%

4 – 0

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Northern Ireland

Handicap	Northern Ireland covers	Push	Croatia covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	16%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	25%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Northern Ireland keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Croatia keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.