FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

3 – 4

Full Time

Chicago Fire FC

Wed 20 Oct 2021 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Zico Bailey 30' Y

Y 45' Johan Kappelhof

Joseph-Claude Gyau 48' Y

Y 68' Federico Navarro

Y 79' Gabriel Slonina

Geoff Cameron 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Chicago Fire FC 14 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC 2020-08-25 Chicago Fire FC 3–0 FC Cincinnati 2019-09-21 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–4	L
16 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
10 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
29 Sep	Toronto FC	A	2–3	L
25 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	2–4	L

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	4–3	W
16 Oct	New England Revolution	A	2–2	D
03 Oct	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
30 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–0	W
26 Sep	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
23 Sep	New England Revolution	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Chicago Fire FC
#7	Position	#3
20	Points	26
15	Played	14
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 2 / 4
36	Scored	27
37	Conceded	16
-1	GD	+11
1.33	PPG	1.86
33%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/–

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Chicago Fire FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Chicago Fire FC is showing some good football. However, Chicago Fire FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
14' Robert Beric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
17' The deadlock is broken! Robert Beric gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
22' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' Alvaro Medran has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
28' Against the run of play, Luciano Acosta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Zico Bailey.
35' Brenner da Silva, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
36' Brandon Vazquez adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
41' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chicago Fire FC backline.
45' Controversy at the stadium! Johan Kappelhof argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
46' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Zico Bailey exits the field as Joseph-Claude Gyau enters on 46.
48' Poor challenge from Joseph-Claude Gyau. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
53' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Edgar Castillo is withdrawn and Alvaro Barreal gets his opportunity.
58' Time for substitution for Chicago Fire FC. Jhon Espinoza is replaced by Boris Sekulic.
62' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kamohelo Mokotjo comes on to replace Haris Medunjanin.
64' Nnamdi Chinonso Offor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robert Beric on 64 minute.
68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Federico Navarro.
71' Alvaro Medran adds to his 0 season tally! Chicago Fire FC lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
77' The whistle greets Brandon Vazquez as he departs to be replaced by Calvin Harris.
78' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kyle Scott comes on to replace Allan Cruz.
79' Gabriel Slonina was booked on 79.
80' Poor challenge from Geoff Cameron. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
85' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
86' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Alvaro Medran is withdrawn and Luka Stojanovic gets his opportunity.
With this win, Chicago Fire FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

3
Tyler Blackett
12
Geoff Cameron
6
Haris Medunjanin ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kyle Scott 78'
2
Edgar Castillo ↓ Alvaro Barreal 53'
11
Luciano Acosta
18
Ronald Matarrita
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Calvin Harris 77'
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Joseph-Claude Gyau 46'
22
Przemyslaw Tyton
9
Brenner da Silva

Bench

15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
25
Kenneth Vermeer
33
Caleb Stanko
14
Nick Hagglund
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 53'
23
Isaac Atanga
13
Joseph-Claude Gyau ↑ 46'
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 77'
21
Kyle Scott ↑ 78'

Coach Tyrone Marshall

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Robert Beric ↓ Nnamdi Chinonso Offor 64'
10
Alvaro Medran ↓ Luka Stojanovic 86'
21
Fabian Herbers ↓ Brian Gutierrez 46'
4
Johan Kappelhof ↓ Gaston Claudio Gimenez 64'
31
Federico Navarro
7
Ignacio Aliseda
3
Jonathan Bornstein
14
Jhon Espinoza ↓ Boris Sekulic 58'
32
Gabriel Slonina
6
Miguel Navarro
22
Mauricio Pineda

Bench

Coach Raphaël Wicky

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Rafael Czichos	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-10-16 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-25 D.C. United SC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L

Chicago Fire FC Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC W 2021-10-16 New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D 2021-10-03 Toronto FC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-09-30 Chicago Fire FC 2–0 New York City FC W 2021-09-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Nashville SC D 2021-09-23 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.73 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.4 Chicago Fire FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati28% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC49%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

51%

Draw or Chicago Fire FC

72%

FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati24% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC39%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 3

6.2%

2 – 1

5.7%

2 – 3

5.3%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 2

3.8%

1 – 4

3.7%

0 – 3

3.7%

0 – 1

3.5%

3 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	14%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	19%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	15%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.