FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

3 – 4

Full Time

Chicago Fire FC

Wed 20 Oct 2021 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Zico Bailey 30' Y

Y 45' Johan Kappelhof

Joseph-Claude Gyau 48' Y

Y 68' Federico Navarro

Y 79' Gabriel Slonina

Geoff Cameron 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC 2020-08-25 Chicago Fire FC 3–0 FC Cincinnati 2019-09-21 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–4	L
16 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
10 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
29 Sep	Toronto FC	A	2–3	L
25 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	2–4	L

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	4–3	W
16 Oct	New England Revolution	A	2–2	D
03 Oct	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
30 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–0	W
26 Sep	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
23 Sep	New England Revolution	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Chicago Fire FC
#9	Position	#5
33	Points	42
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 8
55	Scored	46
64	Conceded	38
-9	GD	+8
1.27	PPG	1.62
31%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

7/2

16-30

7/5

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/6

61-75

8/–

76+

3/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie	8 G	3 A
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Chicago Fire FC get us underway at TQL Stadium.
5' Zico Bailey is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabian Herbers suffering a number of foals already.
14' The Slovenia Robert Beric breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 0-1!
17' Robert Beric is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
28' What composure from Luciano Acosta! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-2.
30' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Zico Bailey gets a Yellow card.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
36' Brandon Vazquez makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
41' FC Cincinnati have won 363 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' Johan Kappelhof was booked on 45.
46' The crowd applauds Zico Bailey as he leaves the pitch. Joseph-Claude Gyau steps in for FC Cincinnati.
48' Joseph-Claude Gyau is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
53' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alvaro Barreal is hanging Edgar Castillo on the field on 53 minute.
58' Time for substitution for Chicago Fire FC. Jhon Espinoza is replaced by Boris Sekulic.
62' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Haris Medunjanin exits the field as Kamohelo Mokotjo enters on 62.
64' Nnamdi Chinonso Offor gets the nod from Chicago Fire FC. He replaces Robert Beric and will look to change the dynamic.
68' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Federico Navarro.
71' Alvaro Medran does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
77' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brandon Vazquez departs to be replaced by Calvin Harris.
78' The whistle greets Allan Cruz as he departs to be replaced by Kyle Scott.
79' Gabriel Slonina was booked on 79.
80' Geoff Cameron was booked on 80.
85' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
86' The crowd applauds Alvaro Medran as he leaves the pitch. Luka Stojanovic steps in for Chicago Fire FC.
It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC share the spoils 3-4.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

3
Tyler Blackett
12
Geoff Cameron
6
Haris Medunjanin ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kyle Scott 78'
2
Edgar Castillo ↓ Alvaro Barreal 53'
11
Luciano Acosta
18
Ronald Matarrita
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Calvin Harris 77'
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Joseph-Claude Gyau 46'
22
Przemyslaw Tyton
9
Brenner da Silva

Bench

15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
25
Kenneth Vermeer
33
Caleb Stanko
14
Nick Hagglund
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 53'
23
Isaac Atanga
13
Joseph-Claude Gyau ↑ 46'
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 77'
21
Kyle Scott ↑ 78'

Coach Tyrone Marshall

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Robert Beric ↓ Nnamdi Chinonso Offor 64'
10
Alvaro Medran ↓ Luka Stojanovic 86'
21
Fabian Herbers ↓ Brian Gutierrez 46'
4
Johan Kappelhof ↓ Gaston Claudio Gimenez 64'
31
Federico Navarro
7
Ignacio Aliseda
3
Jonathan Bornstein
14
Jhon Espinoza ↓ Boris Sekulic 58'
32
Gabriel Slonina
6
Miguel Navarro
22
Mauricio Pineda

Bench

Coach Raphaël Wicky

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Rafael Czichos	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-10-16 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-25 D.C. United SC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L

Chicago Fire FC Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC W 2021-10-16 New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D 2021-10-03 Toronto FC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-09-30 Chicago Fire FC 2–0 New York City FC W 2021-09-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Nashville SC D 2021-09-23 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.32 Chicago Fire FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati31% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC46%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

54%

Draw or Chicago Fire FC

69%

FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati26% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

7.4%

1 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.7%

2 – 3

5.2%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.7%

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 4

3.3%

0 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.