FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

3 – 4

Full Time

Chicago Fire FC

Wed 20 Oct 2021 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Zico Bailey 30' Y

Y 45' Johan Kappelhof

Joseph-Claude Gyau 48' Y

Y 68' Federico Navarro

Y 79' Gabriel Slonina

Geoff Cameron 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC 2020-08-25 Chicago Fire FC 3–0 FC Cincinnati 2019-09-21 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–4	L
16 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
10 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
29 Sep	Toronto FC	A	2–3	L
25 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	2–4	L

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	4–3	W
16 Oct	New England Revolution	A	2–2	D
03 Oct	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
30 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–0	W
26 Sep	Nashville SC	H	0–0	D
23 Sep	New England Revolution	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Chicago Fire FC
#6	Position	#4
26	Points	29
18	Played	17
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	9 / 2 / 6
45	Scored	32
44	Conceded	23
+1	GD	+9
1.44	PPG	1.71
39%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

7/4

31-45

1/5

46-60

2/2

61-75

6/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC is underway.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Ignacio Aliseda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
14' The deadlock is broken! Robert Beric gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
17' Robert Beric makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Chicago Fire FC are in front.
22' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
28' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
30' Controversy at the stadium! Zico Bailey argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
35' Zico Bailey has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
36' What a strike from Brandon Vazquez! The score is 2-2.
41' It looks like no one’s ball. Chicago Fire FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
45' Johan Kappelhof is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
46' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Zico Bailey departs to be replaced by Joseph-Claude Gyau.
48' A moment of madness from Joseph-Claude Gyau on 48 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
53' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Edgar Castillo departs to be replaced by Alvaro Barreal.
58' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Jhon Espinoza has done his job and it is now time for Boris Sekulic to step up.
62' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Kamohelo Mokotjo on, Haris Medunjanin off on 62 minutes.
64' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Robert Beric has done his job and it is now time for Nnamdi Chinonso Offor to step up.
68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Federico Navarro.
71' Brilliant from the ! Alvaro Medran makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 71.
76' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
77' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Calvin Harris is hanging Brandon Vazquez on the field on 77 minute.
78' The supporters are chanting for Kyle Scott. He replaces Allan Cruz on 78 minute.
79' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gabriel Slonina.
80' Poor challenge from Geoff Cameron. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
85' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chicago Fire FC backline.
86' Luka Stojanovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Medran on 86 minute.
The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 3-4 Chicago Fire FC. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

3
Tyler Blackett
12
Geoff Cameron
6
Haris Medunjanin ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 62'
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Kyle Scott 78'
2
Edgar Castillo ↓ Alvaro Barreal 53'
11
Luciano Acosta
18
Ronald Matarrita
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Calvin Harris 77'
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Joseph-Claude Gyau 46'
22
Przemyslaw Tyton
9
Brenner da Silva

Bench

15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 62'
25
Kenneth Vermeer
33
Caleb Stanko
14
Nick Hagglund
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 53'
23
Isaac Atanga
13
Joseph-Claude Gyau ↑ 46'
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 77'
21
Kyle Scott ↑ 78'

Coach Tyrone Marshall

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Robert Beric ↓ Nnamdi Chinonso Offor 64'
10
Alvaro Medran ↓ Luka Stojanovic 86'
21
Fabian Herbers ↓ Brian Gutierrez 46'
4
Johan Kappelhof ↓ Gaston Claudio Gimenez 64'
31
Federico Navarro
7
Ignacio Aliseda
3
Jonathan Bornstein
14
Jhon Espinoza ↓ Boris Sekulic 58'
32
Gabriel Slonina
6
Miguel Navarro
22
Mauricio Pineda

Bench

Coach Raphaël Wicky

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Junior Moreno	2
Philip Zinckernagel	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-10-16 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2021-10-10 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-25 D.C. United SC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L

Chicago Fire FC Form

2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC W 2021-10-16 New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D 2021-10-03 Toronto FC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2021-09-30 Chicago Fire FC 2–0 New York City FC W 2021-09-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Nashville SC D 2021-09-23 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 New England Revolution L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.98 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.39 Chicago Fire FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati32% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC45%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	44%	56%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

54%

Draw or Chicago Fire FC

68%

FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati27% Draw36% Chicago Fire FC37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 1

6.7%

2 – 1

5.8%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

5.4%

3 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 3

3.6%

1 – 4

3.3%

2 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.