FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

FC Cincinnati

2 – 3

Full Time

Chicago Fire FC

Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Nick Hagglund 27' Y

Y 68' Mauricio Pineda

Yuya Kubo 81' Y

Y 90' Rafael Czichos

Sergio Santos 90' R

Y 90' Miguel Navarro

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC 2022-05-15 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-10-20 FC Cincinnati 3–4 Chicago Fire FC 2021-06-24 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	2–1	W
10 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	H	6–0	W
08 Sep	New York City FC	A	1–1	D
03 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–2	W
18 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	2–3	L
13 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–3	L
11 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	3–1	W
03 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D
31 Aug	New England Revolution	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Chicago Fire FC
#9	Position	#5
33	Points	42
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 8
55	Scored	46
64	Conceded	38
-9	GD	+8
1.27	PPG	1.62
31%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

7/2

16-30

7/5

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/6

61-75

8/–

76+

3/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie	8 G	3 A
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC is underway.
5' Chicago Fire FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
15' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Geoff Cameron has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
27' A moment of madness from Nick Hagglund on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
37' Jonathan Bornstein is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
42' It looks like no one’s ball. Chicago Fire FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
47' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ezra Hendrickson might look to freshen things up shortly.
52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
56' What composure from Jhon Duran! The Colombia international strokes it home. 0-1.
59' Brilliant from the ! Brian Gutierrez makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 59.
60' The whistle greets Junior Moreno as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Kubo.
65' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
68' Mauricio Pineda was booked on 68.
72' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Alvas Powell exits the field as Ronald Matarrita enters on 72.
73' The whistle greets Brenner da Silva as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
75' Jhon Duran makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Chicago Fire FC are in front.
77' The whistle greets Stanislav Ivanov as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Navarro.
78' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 1-3.
81' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 81.
86' Mauricio Pineda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
88' Geoff Cameron makes way for Dominique Badji at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
89' Magnificent from Brandon Vazquez! That is 44 goals in 291 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
90' Chicago Fire FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Brian Gutierrez by Javier Casas on 90 minute.
FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. Chicago Fire FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 60'
14
Dominique Badji ↑ 88'
8
Allan Cruz
22
Ronald Matarrita ↑ 72'
1
Alec Kann
11
Sergio Santos ↑ 73'
3
John Nelson
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 60'
28
Raymon Gaddis

Coach Pat Noonan

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Rafael Czichos
31
Federico Navarro
2
Boris Sekulic
99
Stanislav Ivanov ↓ Miguel Navarro 77'
18
Spencer Richey
3
Jonathan Bornstein ↓ Kendall Burks 90'
22
Mauricio Pineda
40
Brian Gutierrez ↓ Javier Casas 90'
23
Carlos Teran
8
Chris Mueller
26
Jhon Duran

Bench

Coach Ezra Hendrickson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Robert Beric	3
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Kevin Denkey	2
Junior Moreno	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes W 2022-09-08 New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-09-03 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Charlotte FC W

Chicago Fire FC Form

2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2022-09-18 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 Charlotte FC L 2022-09-13 Montreal Impact FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-11 Chicago Fire FC 3–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2022-09-03 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 Chicago Fire FC D 2022-08-31 New England Revolution 0–0 Chicago Fire FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.18 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 Chicago Fire FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati41% Draw23% Chicago Fire FC36%

Actual: Chicago Fire FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.28

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

64%

Draw or Chicago Fire FC

59%

FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati33% Draw36% Chicago Fire FC31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

6.5%

3 – 2

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

4.5%

3 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

4 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	12%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	17%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	16%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	11%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.