Chelsea FC vs AFC Ajax, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Chelsea FC vs AFC Ajax — Champions League .
- Chelsea FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
- AFC Ajax 8 games · 6 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Liverpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Manchester United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Chelsea FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | AZ | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Sep | Olympique de Marseille | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | NAC Breda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | PSV | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Chelsea FC | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #32 |
| 16 | Points | 6 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 6 |
| 17 | Scored | 8 |
| 10 | Conceded | 21 |
| +7 | GD | -13 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 63% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
Chelsea FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Chelsea FC are 6th (16 pts). AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Chelsea FC gets underway.
- Full Time. Chelsea FC beats AFC Ajax
Lineups
Chelsea FC Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Quincy Promes | 2 |
| Jorginho | 2 |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | 1 |
| Azpilicueta | 1 |
| Tammy Abraham | 1 |
| Reece James | 1 |
| Donny van de Beek | 1 |
| Michy Batshuayi | 1 |
Head to Head
Chelsea FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.59
Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Chelsea FC to win 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Chelsea FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Chelsea FC or Draw
89%
Draw or AFC Ajax
25%
Chelsea FC or AFC Ajax
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Chelsea FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
4 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
6.3%
5 – 1
Actual
5 – 0
4.5%
1 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC
| Handicap | Chelsea FC covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -2 | 45% | 19% | 36% |
| -1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 16% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.