Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Albirex Niigata get us underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 8' That looks like a foul for a card for Shusuke Ota.
- 13' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sota Koshimichi suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 29' Yuzuru Shimada gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Eiji Miyamoto and will look to change the dynamic.
- 33' A moment of madness from Fumiya Hayakawa on 33 minutes earns him a card. Albirex Niigata will be frustrated.
- 37' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Shusuke Ota exits the field as Yuji Hoshi enters on 37.
- 42' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 46 minute. Sota Koshimichi leaves to be changed by Marcos Junior.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' The 33-year-old Yuji Ono has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 435 goals from 339 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' Naoto Arai is replacing Shuto Nakano for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 65' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Danilo steps in for Albirex Niigata.
- 66' Yoshiaki Takagi gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Hayato Araki puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
- 75' Japan international Sho Sasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 77' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 77 minute. Pieros Sotiriou leaves to be changed by Takaaki Shichi.
- 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Naoto Arai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
- 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 1
- 25
- 6
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Yuji Hoshi 37'
- 18
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Motoki Nagakura 65'
- 26
- 14
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 29'
Bench
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 29'
- 35
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 37'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 65'
- 21
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 66'
-
27
Motoki Nagakura ↑ 65'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 24
- 20
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Marcos Junior 46'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
- 51
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
- 22
- 7
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 77'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 63'
- 35
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Yoshiaki Takagi | 1 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 1 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 1 |
| Miguel Silveira | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-05-03
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-13
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2024-04-03
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
70%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

