Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taishi Matsumoto made 335 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 8' Shusuke Ota is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
- 13' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 18' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoto Arai suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 29' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Yuzuru Shimada on, Eiji Miyamoto off on 29 minutes.
- 33' Fumiya Hayakawa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
- 37' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Yuji Hoshi on, Shusuke Ota off on 37 minutes.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Marcos Junior has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sota Koshimichi on 46 minute.
- 51' Ryosuke Kojima has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoto Arai is hanging Shuto Nakano on the field on 63 minute.
- 65' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Danilo comes on to replace Yuji Ono.
- 66' Yoshiaki Takagi is replacing Motoki Hasegawa for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hayato Araki on 70.
- 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tsukasa Shiotani, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 77' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Pieros Sotiriou exits the field as Takaaki Shichi enters on 77.
- 82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 87' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 1
- 25
- 6
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Yuji Hoshi 37'
- 18
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Motoki Nagakura 65'
- 26
- 14
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 29'
Bench
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 29'
- 35
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 37'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 65'
- 21
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 66'
-
27
Motoki Nagakura ↑ 65'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 24
- 20
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Marcos Junior 46'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoto Arai 63'
- 51
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
- 22
- 7
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 77'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 63'
- 35
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Miguel Silveira | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Shunsuke Mito | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-05-03
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-13
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-07
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2024-04-03
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
70%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.