Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 3

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' Shu Morooka

Hayato Araki 47' Y

Takumu Kawamura 77' Y

Y 78' Ikuma Sekigawa

Y 80' Kei Chinen

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers 2023-07-08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-06 Kashima Antlers 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Kashima Antlers	H	1–3	L
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–3	L
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–2	D
20 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
13 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–1	D

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	3–1	W
12 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	3–3	D
06 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–1	W
03 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
20 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashima Antlers
#4	Position	#11
30	Points	45
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
41	Scored	40
33	Conceded	20
+8	GD	+20
1.67	PPG	2.50
56%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	11 G
Aleksandar Cavric	4 G	1 A
Takuya Uchida	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers — let the football do the talking.
5' Naomichi Ueda doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
10' Ikuma Sekigawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
15' Brilliant from the ! Yuma Suzuki makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 15.
20' Takumu Kawamura has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
32' A moment of madness from Shu Morooka on 32 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
37' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
46' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Marcos Junior on, Makoto Mitsuta off on 46 minutes.
47' It’s gonna be a card for Hayato Araki.
52' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kashima Antlers backline.
55' Pieros Sotiriou gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Hayato Araki and will look to change the dynamic.
60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
65' Marcos Junior makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
71' Kashima Antlers make a change. Shu Morooka trudges off to be replaced by Aleksandar Cavric on 71 minutes.
76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
77' Takumu Kawamura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
78' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Hayato Nakama is replaced by Yuta Higuchi.
78' Controversy at the stadium! Ikuma Sekigawa argues furiously but the card stands.
80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kei Chinen on 80.
81' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Yuki Ohashi is replaced by Yoshifumi Kashiwa.
84' Aleksandar Cavric doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
88' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Yuma Suzuki is withdrawn and Radomir Milosavljevic gets his opportunity.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 46'
77
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 81'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 55'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Marcos Junior 46'
32
Sota Koshimichi
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Naoto Arai 81'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 81'
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 46'
5
Hiroya Matsumoto
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 55'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

13
Kei Chinen
55
Naomichi Ueda
2
Koki Anzai
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Radomir Milosavljevic 88'
30
Shintaro Nago
5
Ikuma Sekigawa
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Yuta Higuchi 78'
1
Tomoki Hayakawa
25
Kaishu Sano
36
Shu Morooka ↓ Aleksandar Cavric 71'
32
Kimito Nono

Bench

Coach Ranko Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	4
Ezequiel	3
Douglas Vieira	3
Ryotaro Araki	3
Patric	2
Arthur Caike	2
Hayato Araki	2
Takumu Kawamura	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-03 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers W 2024-05-12 Kashima Antlers 3–3 Tokyo Verdy D 2024-05-06 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-04-28 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.53 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.92 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kashima Antlers 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima32% Draw26% Kashima Antlers42%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

58%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

68%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kashima Antlers

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima24% Draw41% Kashima Antlers35%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

4.6%

1 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.