Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1 – 3

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' Shu Morooka

Hayato Araki 47' Y

Takumu Kawamura 77' Y

Y 78' Ikuma Sekigawa

Y 80' Kei Chinen

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers 2023-07-08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-06 Kashima Antlers 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Kashima Antlers	H	1–3	L
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–3	L
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–2	D
20 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
13 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–1	D

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	3–1	W
12 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	3–3	D
06 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–1	W
03 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	2–1	W
20 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashima Antlers
#4	Position	#11
30	Points	45
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
41	Scored	40
33	Conceded	20
+8	GD	+20
1.67	PPG	2.50
56%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/–

76+

6/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima as Sanfrecce Hiroshima face off against Kashima Antlers in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Assisted by Shintaro Nago with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naomichi Ueda makes no mistake. 0-1!
10' Kashima Antlers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' What a strike from Yuma Suzuki! The score is 0-2.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shu Morooka suffering a number of foals already.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
32' Shu Morooka has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
46' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Marcos Junior on, Makoto Mitsuta off on 46 minutes.
47' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Hayato Araki gets a card.
52' Yuki Ohashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
55' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Hayato Araki is replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
65' Marcos Junior has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
70' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kashima Antlers's shape.
71' Kashima Antlers ring the changes. Shu Morooka has done his job and it is now time for Aleksandar Cavric to step up.
76' Tsukasa Shiotani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
77' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Takumu Kawamura gets a card.
78' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Yuta Higuchi on, Hayato Nakama off on 78 minutes.
78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ikuma Sekigawa on 78 minutes.
80' A moment of madness from Kei Chinen on 80 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
81' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Yuki Ohashi by Yoshifumi Kashiwa on 81 minute.
84' The deadlock is broken! Aleksandar Cavric gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
88' Radomir Milosavljevic gets the nod from Kashima Antlers. He replaces Yuma Suzuki and will look to change the dynamic.
The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 46'
77
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 81'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 55'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Marcos Junior 46'
32
Sota Koshimichi
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Naoto Arai 81'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior ↑ 46'
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 81'
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 46'
5
Hiroya Matsumoto
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 55'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

13
Kei Chinen
55
Naomichi Ueda
2
Koki Anzai
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Radomir Milosavljevic 88'
30
Shintaro Nago
5
Ikuma Sekigawa
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Yuta Higuchi 78'
1
Tomoki Hayakawa
25
Kaishu Sano
36
Shu Morooka ↓ Aleksandar Cavric 71'
32
Kimito Nono

Bench

Coach Ranko Popovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	4
Ryotaro Araki	3
Ezequiel	3
Douglas Vieira	3
Patric	2
Arthur Caike	2
Hayato Araki	2
Takumu Kawamura	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-03 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-04-13 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-05-15 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–3 Kashima Antlers W 2024-05-12 Kashima Antlers 3–3 Tokyo Verdy D 2024-05-06 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-04-28 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.53 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.92 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kashima Antlers 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima32% Draw26% Kashima Antlers42%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

58%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

68%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kashima Antlers

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima24% Draw41% Kashima Antlers35%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

4.6%

1 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.