Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 35' Larson
Fernandinho 45' Y
Fernando Sobral 59' Y
Willian Machado 79' Y
Y 86' Luis Pacheco
Pedro Henrique 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

3
2
8
Ceará SC 13 games · Avg 3.0 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-08-10 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Ceará SC 2022-07-30 Ceará SC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2022-04-10 SE Palmeiras 2–3 Ceará SC 2021-12-10 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SE Palmeiras H 1–3 L
04 Dec CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
30 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
24 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
21 Nov SC Internacional H 1–2 L
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–0 W
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Ceará SC A 3–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Castelao!
  • 5' Pedro Raul has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 12' Pedro Raul doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 17' Facundo Torres Perez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 22' Bruno Fuchs is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ceara SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vinicius Zanocelo, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 45' Ceara SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Dieguinho is withdrawn and Fernando Sobral gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Ceara SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 59' Fernando Sobral picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 60' Ramon Sosa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 62' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Fernandinho departs to be replaced by Pedro Henrique.
  • 65' Jose Manuel Lopez doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 68' Another change for Ceara SC made on 68 minute. Rafael Ramos leaves to be changed by Aylon.
  • 73' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Jose Manuel Lopez is replaced by Bruno Rodrigues on 73 minute.
  • 78' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Mauricio departs to be replaced by Erick Machado.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Ceara SC player. Willian Machado gets a card.
  • 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luis Pacheco on 86.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Pedro Henrique. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Stiven Mendoza 3
Ze Rafael 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 2
Bruno Henrique 2
Dudu 2
Willian 1
Jose Lopez 1
Elton 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-08-10 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Ceará SC 2022-07-30 Ceará SC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2022-04-10 SE Palmeiras 2–3 Ceará SC 2021-12-10 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Ceará SC

Ceará SC Form

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-12-04 CR Flamengo 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-11-30 Ceará SC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-11-24 Mirassol FC 3–0 Ceará SC L 2025-11-21 Ceará SC 1–2 SC Internacional L 2025-11-09 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–1 Ceará SC W

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-16 Santos FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or SE Palmeiras 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC29% Draw27% SE Palmeiras44%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
56%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
Ceará SC or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC22% Draw45% SE Palmeiras33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.