Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 00:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
24 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
21 Nov SC Internacional H 1–2 L
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–0 W
06 Nov Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
23 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista H 3–0 W
20 Nov EC Juventude A 3–3 D
09 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
05 Nov Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
01 Nov EC Vitoria H 3–1 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 4 A
Kaio Jorge 7 G 1 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Ceará SC vs Cruzeiro EC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Ceará SC in their trying to find a way past Cruzeiro EC's compact .
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cassio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Walace on 35 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
  • 40' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Keny Arroyo exits the field as Luis Sinisterra enters on 42.
  • 45' Lucas Silva is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceará SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Vinicius Zanocelo puts Ceara SC on the lead.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Fernandinho is withdrawn and Paulo Baya gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Matheus Pereira. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Willian Machado makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriel Barbosa.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Vina. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 76 minute.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Willian Machado.
  • 80' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Gabriel Barbosa trudges off to be replaced by Yannick Bolasie on 80 minutes.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Raul is replaced by Aylon on 85 minute.
  • 89' Matheus Henrique is replacing Walace for the Cruzeiro EC side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Cruzeiro EC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC40% Draw30% Cruzeiro EC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
70%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
60%
Ceará SC or Cruzeiro EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC27% Draw50% Cruzeiro EC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.