Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Lucas Braga
Y 53' Matheuzinho
Y 90' Claudinho

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

2
2
Ceará SC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 Ceará SC 1–0 EC Vitoria 2018-09-15 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-05-20 EC Vitoria 2–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Ceará SC A 0–1 L
27 Apr Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Ceara SC gets underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thiago Carpini will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceara SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Ceara SC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Willian Machado has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 238 appearances.
  • 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Braga.
  • 42' Claudinho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Rafael Ramos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabiano Silva on 46 minute.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' A moment of madness from Matheuzinho on 53 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • 56' Magnificent from Marllon! That is 4 goals in 370 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 58' The whistle greets Lucas Braga as he departs to be replaced by Erick.
  • 59' Leo Augusto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlinhos at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 73' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Lucas Mugni by Romulo on 73 minute.
  • 78' Ceara SC make a change. Antonio Galeano trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Tubarao on 78 minutes.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Galeano made 12 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 85 minute. Matheuzinho leaves to be changed by Fabricio.
  • 90' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Claudinho will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Nicolas Vichiatto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Henrique on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Ceara SC and EC Vitoria (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC49% Draw29% EC Vitoria22%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
51%
Ceará SC or EC Vitoria
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC31% Draw52% EC Vitoria17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.