Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
0 – 2
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
30 Aug Vitória SC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
17 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–6 L
09 Aug AVS H 3–1 W
17 May Boavista FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep FC Arouca A 2–0 W
30 Aug CD Nacional H 0–2 L
24 Aug FC Porto A 0–4 L
15 Aug AVS A 2–0 W
08 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Arouca Casa Pia AC
#5 Position #17
11 Points 4
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
10 Scored 3
7 Conceded 16
+3 GD -13
1.57 PPG 0.57
43% Win % 14%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). Casa Pia AC are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.96 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca52% Draw25% Casa Pia AC23%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
77%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
48%
FC Arouca or Casa Pia AC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca43% Draw43% Casa Pia AC14%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–2 not predicted
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.