Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Casa Pia AC
3 – 2
Full Time
FC Arouca
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Diogo Rosa (Portugal)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

5
2
1
Casa Pia AC 8 games · Avg 1.9 goals FC Arouca
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC Arouca H 3–2 W
08 Feb CD Nacional A 0–0 D
02 Feb FC Porto H 2–1 W
23 Jan AVS H 3–3 D
16 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
FC Arouca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Casa Pia AC A 2–3 L
07 Feb Vitória SC H 3–2 W
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC FC Arouca
#17 Position #5
4 Points 11
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
3 Scored 10
16 Conceded 7
-13 GD +3
0.57 PPG 1.57
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Casa Pia AC are 17th (4 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Casa Pia AC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Arouca.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Casa Pia AC take all three points.

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafa Mujica 2
Felippe Cardoso 1
Clayton 1
Alfonso Trezza 1
Jeremy Livolant 1
Leonardo Lelo 1
Samuel Obeng 1

Head to Head

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca 2025-09-14 FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia AC 2025-05-04 FC Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia AC 2024-12-20 Casa Pia AC 3–1 FC Arouca 2024-02-18 Casa Pia AC 1–0 FC Arouca

Casa Pia AC Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca W 2026-02-08 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC D 2026-02-02 Casa Pia AC 2–1 FC Porto W 2026-01-23 Casa Pia AC 3–3 AVS D 2026-01-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3–0 Casa Pia AC L 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC L

FC Arouca Form

2026-02-14 Casa Pia AC 3–2 FC Arouca L 2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC W 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca W 2026-01-24 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-01-17 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca W 2026-01-03 CD Tondela 3–1 FC Arouca L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca 76% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC34% Draw24% FC Arouca42%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Arouca
66%
Casa Pia AC or FC Arouca
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC20% Draw43% FC Arouca37%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.