Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Mantova 1911 SSD, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 8,902 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Mantova 1911 SSD — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Alberto Arena (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
  • Assistant 2 Marco Belsanti (Italy)

Head-to-Head

2
2
Spezia Calcio 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Mantova 1911 SSD

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Mantova 1911 SSD H 1–1 D
21 Dec US Catanzaro A 1–0 W
14 Dec UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
08 Dec AS Cittadella H 5–0 W
01 Dec Palermo FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov FC Südtirol H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Spezia Calcio A 1–1 D
21 Dec Frosinone Calcio H 3–1 W
14 Dec FC Südtirol A 2–2 D
07 Dec AC Pisa 1909 H 2–3 L
30 Nov Modena FC 2018 H 0–0 D
23 Nov US Catanzaro A 2–2 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
Francesco Ruocco 4 G
Vanja Vlahovic 2 G
Rares Ilie 1 G 1 A
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio47% Draw27% Mantova 1911 SSD26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
75%
Draw or Mantova 1911 SSD
53%
Spezia Calcio or Mantova 1911 SSD
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio33% Draw48% Mantova 1911 SSD19%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Mantova 1911 SSD covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.