Saturday , 14 November 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Mantova 1911 SSD, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 8,902 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Mantova 1911 SSD — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Alberto Arena (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
  • Assistant 2 Marco Belsanti (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
2
Spezia Calcio 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Mantova 1911 SSD

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Mantova 1911 SSD H 1–1 D
21 Dec US Catanzaro A 1–0 W
14 Dec UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
08 Dec AS Cittadella H 5–0 W
01 Dec Palermo FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov FC Südtirol H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Spezia Calcio A 1–1 D
21 Dec Frosinone Calcio H 3–1 W
14 Dec FC Südtirol A 2–2 D
07 Dec AC Pisa 1909 H 2–3 L
30 Nov Modena FC 2018 H 0–0 D
23 Nov US Catanzaro A 2–2 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
Francesco Ruocco 4 G
Ettore Gliozzi 2 G 1 A
Vanja Vlahovic 2 G
Francesco Ruocco 2 G
Rares Ilie 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Spezia Calcio and Mantova 1911 SSD get this one started.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 6' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Simone Trimboli.
  • 11' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 12' A moment of madness from Fabrizio Brignani on 12 minutes earns him a card. Mantova 1911 SSD will be frustrated.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Giacomo Fedel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' Magnificent from Alessandro De Benedetti! That is 4 goals in 87 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leonardo Mancuso on 24 minutes.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Possanzini will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fabrizio Brignani.
  • 33' A change in the Mantova 1911 SSD ranks — Leonardo Mancuso exits the field as Stefano Cella enters on 33.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Wieser, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Alberto Picco with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Duccio Degl'Innocenti made 391 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Arkadiusz Reca gets a card.
  • 46' Diego Falcinelli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Nagy at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Arkadiusz Reca has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 60' The Spezia Calcio manager makes a substitution. Arkadiusz Reca departs to be replaced by Giuseppe Aurelio.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Spezia Calcio. Antonio Colak is replaced by Giuseppe Di Serio.
  • 63' The referee shows Spezia Calcio player a card on 63.
  • 64' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Ales Mateju exits the field as Filippo Bandinelli enters on 64.
  • 68' The Mantova 1911 SSD manager makes a substitution. Alessandro De Benedetti departs to be replaced by Davis Mensah.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Mantova 1911 SSD. Francesco Galuppini is replaced by Giacomo Fedel.
  • 73' Petko Hristov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Matteo Solini is booked for Mantova 1911 SSD — card on 74.
  • 76' Cristiano Bani is replacing Matteo Solini for the Mantova 1911 SSD side.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Mantova 1911 SSD team. Antonio Fiori is replaced by David Wieser on 77 minute.
  • 80' Edoardo Soleri gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Duccio Degl'Innocenti and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' It is a cagey affair so far. Spezia Calcio in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Mantova 1911 SSD's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 90' It looks like no one’s ball. Mantova 1911 SSD is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio47% Draw27% Mantova 1911 SSD26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
75%
Draw or Mantova 1911 SSD
53%
Spezia Calcio or Mantova 1911 SSD
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio33% Draw48% Mantova 1911 SSD19%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Mantova 1911 SSD covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.