Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sun 24 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Stadium of Light 41,581 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 87' Mark McGuinness

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 3–1 W
16 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Southampton FC H 5–0 W
26 Aug Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
19 Aug Rotherham United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
19 Sep Coventry City FC H 3–2 W
16 Sep Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
02 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–3 L
26 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Leicester City FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sunderland AFC to score. At the same time, Cardiff City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Abdoullah Ba, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium of Light with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Abdoullah Ba on 9.
  • 14' Luke O'Nien needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
  • 19' Alex Pritchard has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 369 appearances.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Erol Bulut might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cardiff City FC backline.
  • 34' Cardiff City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Ralls suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' Cardiff City FC is showing some good football. However, Cardiff City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Ollie Tanner is ready to make an impact after coming on for Karlan Grant at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' Cardiff City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Manolis Siopis on 56 minutes.
  • 58' Sunderland AFC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 62' Adil Aouchiche is replacing Jobe Bellingham for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 63' Patrick Roberts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mason Burstow on 63 minute.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Rubin Colwill. He replaces Yakou Meite on 64 minute.
  • 65' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Abdoullah Ba exits the field as Luis Semedo enters on 65.
  • 70' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 77' Cardiff City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Cardiff City FC. Joe Ralls is replaced by Ebou Adams.
  • 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sunderland AFC and Cardiff City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Mark McGuinness — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' Nazariy Rusyn is replacing Niall Huggins for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 90' Another substitution for Cardiff City FC to replace Ryan Wintle by Mahlon Romeo on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw31% Cardiff City FC29%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
71%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
60%
Sunderland AFC or Cardiff City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC28% Draw52% Cardiff City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
38%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.