Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 7 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Unipol Domus 15,827 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolas Viola 18' 1–0
1–1 47' Maxwel Cornet

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs Genoa CFCSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
23 Feb Juventus FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Atalanta BC A 0–0 D
09 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
03 Feb SS Lazio H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Mar Empoli FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
17 Feb Venezia FC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Torino FC A 1–1 D
02 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio Genoa CFC
#14 Position #16
43 Points 41
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 10 / 11 / 17
40 Scored 41
53 Conceded 51
-13 GD -10
1.13 PPG 1.08
29% Win % 26%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or Genoa CFC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio37% Draw30% Genoa CFC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
66%
Draw or Genoa CFC
63%
Cagliari Calcio or Genoa CFC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio25% Draw50% Genoa CFC25%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push Genoa CFC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
30%
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.