Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 62,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
Artem Dovbyk 62' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Christian Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
13 Mar Athletic Club A 1–3 L
09 Mar Empoli FC A 1–0 W
06 Mar Athletic Club H 2–1 W
02 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
24 Feb AC Monza H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AS Roma A 0–1 L
07 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
23 Feb Juventus FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Atalanta BC A 0–0 D
09 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

AS Roma Cagliari Calcio
#1 Position #4
13 Points 12
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
14 Scored 5
3 Conceded 2
+11 GD +3
2.60 PPG 2.40
80% Win % 80%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 3 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AS Roma kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Angelino has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 25 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' AS Roma are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cagliari Calcio's 3-5-1-1 shape.
  • 15' Kingstone Mutandwa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 421 appearances.
  • 20' Matias Soule has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' Cagliari Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 31' AS Roma are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Adam Obert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Roma and Cagliari Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cagliari Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' AS Roma currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' GOAL! Artem Dovbyk fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 63' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Stephan El Shaarawy comes on to replace Tommaso Baldanzi.
  • 64' The whistle greets Adam Obert as he departs to be replaced by Tommaso Augello.
  • 69' Devyne Rensch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Red cards this season.
  • 71' Eldor Shomurodov gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Artem Dovbyk and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Cagliari Calcio — Razvan Marin on, Michel Adopo off on 74 minutes.
  • 75' The AS Roma manager makes a substitution. Paulo Dybala departs to be replaced by Niccolo Pisilli.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Leonardo Pavoletti. He replaces Alessandro Deiola on 80 minute.
  • 85' The 37-year-old Leonardo Pavoletti has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' AS Roma are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cagliari Calcio backline.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.34 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.36 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 76% + Under 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma62% Draw27% Cagliari Calcio11%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
90%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
38%
AS Roma or Cagliari Calcio
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma38% Draw56% Cagliari Calcio6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
20.6%
2 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
4 – 0
2.3%
1 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 1
1%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 19% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 30% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
70% ✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.