Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 62,911 HT 45' · FT 45'
Artem Dovbyk 62' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Christian Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
11 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
13 Mar Athletic Club A 1–3 L
09 Mar Empoli FC A 1–0 W
06 Mar Athletic Club H 2–1 W
02 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
24 Feb AC Monza H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AS Roma A 0–1 L
07 Mar Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
23 Feb Juventus FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Atalanta BC A 0–0 D
09 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

AS Roma Cagliari Calcio
#3 Position #14
73 Points 43
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
59 Scored 40
31 Conceded 53
+28 GD -13
1.92 PPG 1.13
61% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AS Roma launch into their encounter with Cagliari Calcio.
  • 5' Evan N'Dicka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' It looks surprising AS Roma does not make any changes. Devyne Rensch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' A moment of madness from Nicolas Viola on 26 minutes earns him a card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Roma must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Nicola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' The referee shows Cagliari Calcio player a card on 40.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. AS Roma in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact 3-5-1-1.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexis Saelemaekers, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
  • 60' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' What composure from Artem Dovbyk! The Ukraine international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 63' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Tommaso Baldanzi is replaced by Stephan El Shaarawy on 63 minute.
  • 64' Cagliari Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tommaso Augello is hanging Adam Obert on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Eldor Shomurodov. He replaces Artem Dovbyk on 71 minute.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Michel Adopo as he leaves the pitch. Razvan Marin steps in for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 75' Paulo Dybala makes way for Niccolo Pisilli at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Roma.
  • 80' Cagliari Calcio make a change. Alessandro Deiola trudges off to be replaced by Leonardo Pavoletti on 80 minutes.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AS Roma to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma69% Draw21% Cagliari Calcio10%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
90%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
31%
AS Roma or Cagliari Calcio
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma48% Draw45% Cagliari Calcio7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15.9%
0 – 0
10.7%
3 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2%
1 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 22% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 26% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
61%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.