Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 17 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Fortaleza EC H 3–0 W
10 May EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
04 May SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
27 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
19 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
26 Apr SC Recife A 0–0 D
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
17 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–2 L

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CR Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza EC get this one started.
  • 3' GOAL! Nuno Moreira scores on 3. Assisted by Hugo Moura
  • 8' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 13' Joao Victor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Nuno Moreira.
  • 44' It looks surprising CR Vasco da Gama does not make any changes. Rayan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Pablo Vegetti makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 46.
  • 46' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Lucas Sasha exits the field as Guillermo Fernandez enters on 46.
  • 51' It’s a booking for CR Vasco da Gama player. Luiz Gustavo gets a card.
  • 56' Leandro Martinez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Leandro Martinez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Marinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eros Mancuso on 58 minute.
  • 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. CR Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Marinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gaston Avila suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Deyverson. He replaces Yago Pikachu on 77 minute.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Pablo Vegetti has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 87' A tactical swap from CR Vasco da Gama — Adson on, Nuno Moreira off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Breno Lopes by Kervin Andrade on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CR Vasco da Gama players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama48% Draw29% Fortaleza EC23%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
52%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fortaleza EC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama32% Draw52% Fortaleza EC16%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.