EC Vitoria vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 33 | Points | 49 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 43 |
| 42 | Conceded | 32 |
| -14 | GD | +11 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Vitoria welcome CA Paranaense for this crunch clash at Barradao.
- 5' The travelling CA Paranaense supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 9' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Osvaldo is withdrawn and Jose Hugo gets his opportunity.
- 12' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno Zapelli is booked for CA Paranaense — card on 12.
- 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 179 games and scored 131 goals.
- 27' Wagner Leonardo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 11 cards already picked up this season.
- 32' Erick has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 380 appearances.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past CA Paranaense's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 46' Erick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fernandinho at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' A moment of madness from Jose Hugo on 60 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- 62' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Emersonn on, Christian off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 70' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erick Castillo is hanging Alerrandro on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 78' The crowd applauds Lepu as he leaves the pitch. Raul Caceres steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 80' Magnificent from Julimar! That is 7 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 80' The crowd applauds Bruno Zapelli as he leaves the pitch. Ze Vitor steps in for CA Paranaense.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pablo Felipe on 82.
- 87' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Paranaense backline.
- 90' Poor challenge from Caio Vinicius. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Lucas Di Yorio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Julimar at the 90 minute mark.
- Another three points for CA Paranaense.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
- 15
- 8
- 16
- 11
- 29
- 1
- 4
- 30
- 5
- 97
Bench
- 40
- 10
- 27
- 31
- 22
- 17
- 14
- 80
- –
- 39
- 83
- 62
Coach
Thiago Carpini
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
44
Thiago Heleno ↓ Mateo Gamarra 46'
- 92
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Erick 46'
- 29
- 4
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Ze Vitor 80'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 90'
- 37
- 24
Bench
- 22
-
26
Erick ↑ 46'
- 43
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 62'
- 41
- 6
-
15
Mateo Gamarra ↑ 46'
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 90'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 80'
- 21
Coach
Juca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Julimar | 2 |
| Luiz Gustavo | 1 |
| Marcinho | 1 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
| Ramon | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
52%
Draw or CA Paranaense
75%
EC Vitoria or CA Paranaense
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

