EC Vitoria vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 22 | Points | 30 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 3 / 6 |
| 21 | Scored | 24 |
| 25 | Conceded | 18 |
| -4 | GD | +6 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 35% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
39%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 11 G | 1 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Barradao. EC Vitoria are looking to make home advantage count against CA Paranaense.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 9' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Jose Hugo on, Osvaldo off on 9 minutes.
- 12' The referee calls foul for Bruno Zapelli. He receives a card.
- 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julimar, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 42' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 46' The crowd applauds Fernandinho as he leaves the pitch. Erick steps in for CA Paranaense.
- 51' Leo Naldi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jose Hugo on 60.
- 62' Emersonn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian at the 62 minute mark.
- 67' The 26-year-old Alerrandro has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 70' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Alerrandro has done his job and it is now time for Erick Castillo to step up.
- 75' Lucas Esteves is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 78' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 78 minute. Lepu leaves to be changed by Raul Caceres.
- 80' Julimar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
- 80' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Ze Vitor on, Bruno Zapelli off on 80 minutes.
- 82' Pablo Felipe is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Caio Vinicius gets a card.
- 90' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Di Yorio is hanging Julimar on the field on 90 minute.
- Another three points for CA Paranaense.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
- 15
- 8
- 16
- 11
- 29
- 1
- 4
- 30
- 5
- 97
Bench
- 40
- 10
- 27
- 31
- 22
- 17
- 14
- 80
- –
- 39
- 83
- 62
Coach
Thiago Carpini
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
44
Thiago Heleno ↓ Mateo Gamarra 46'
- 92
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Erick 46'
- 29
- 4
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Ze Vitor 80'
- 88
-
20
Julimar ↓ Lucas Di Yorio 90'
- 37
- 24
Bench
- 22
-
26
Erick ↑ 46'
- 43
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 62'
- 41
- 6
-
15
Mateo Gamarra ↑ 46'
- 57
-
7
Lucas Di Yorio ↑ 90'
-
30
Ze Vitor ↑ 80'
- 21
Coach
Juca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Julimar | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Luiz Gustavo | 1 |
| Marcinho | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
55%
Draw or CA Paranaense
73%
EC Vitoria or CA Paranaense
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

