CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 54 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 51 | Scored | 35 |
| 43 | Conceded | 51 |
| +8 | GD | -16 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 44% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Paranaense kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and EC Vitória are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Cuello suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Jose Hugo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Carlos Eduardo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitória.
- 30' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' The deadlock is broken! Julimar gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
- 33' Alerrandro is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 46 minute. Everaldo leaves to be changed by Carlos Eduardo.
- 51' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Willian Oliveira will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Arcanjo.
- 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' The crowd applauds Ricardo Ryller as he leaves the pitch. Machado steps in for EC Vitoria.
- 65' EC Vitoria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matheuzinho on 65.
- 66' Machado picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' Bruno Zapelli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Victor at the 66 minute mark.
- 68' Tomas Cuello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
- 73' Fernandinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erick at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' Julimar makes way for Emersonn at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Paranaense.
- 1-2 the final result. CA Paranaense will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 44
- 11
- 92
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Leonardo Godoy 86'
- 4
-
26
Erick ↓ Fernandinho 73'
- 20
- 37
- 41
-
57
Joao Victor ↓ Bruno Zapelli 66'
- 23
Bench
- 3
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 73'
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↑ 86'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 66'
- 8
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 86'
- 24
- 43
- 6
- 7
- 30
EC Vitoria Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
9
Alerrandro ↓ Janderson Costa 73'
-
37
Everaldo ↓ Carlos Eduardo 46'
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Machado 61'
-
27
Raul Caceres ↓ Lepu 61'
-
43
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Jose Hugo 73'
- 16
- 29
- 1
- 4
- 30
Bench
- 8
- 10
-
36
Machado ↑ 61'
- 25
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 46'
- 22
-
17
Jose Hugo ↑ 73'
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 73'
- 48
- 62
-
97
Lepu ↑ 61'
- 33
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Julimar | 2 |
| Marcinho | 1 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
| Ramon | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Vitoria
50%
CA Paranaense or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

