Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Crystal Palace FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Crystal Palace FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–1 L
29 Nov Brentford FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Nov West Ham United FC A 2–3 L
01 Nov Arsenal FC H 0–2 L
26 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Burnley FC A 1–0 W
30 Nov Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
22 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–0 W
09 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–0 D
01 Nov Brentford FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Crystal Palace FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Crystal Palace FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Crystal Palace FC
Tyrick Mitchell 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Crystal Palace FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.84 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Crystal Palace FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC24% Draw30% Crystal Palace FC46%
Actual: Crystal Palace FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Crystal Palace FC
76%
Burnley FC or Crystal Palace FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC16% Draw52% Crystal Palace FC32%
Actual: Crystal Palace FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.3%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Crystal Palace FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Crystal Palace FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.