Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Burnley FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 4–2 W
25 May Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
19 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 4 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G
Victor Munoz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.12 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Liverpool FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC30% Draw29% Liverpool FC41%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Liverpool FC
70%
Burnley FC or Liverpool FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC22% Draw50% Liverpool FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.