Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 13.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 4–5 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burnley FC and Hull City AFC is underway.
- 3' What a strike from Bashir Humphreys! The score is 1-0.
- 8' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 13' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Matt Crooks has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 21' Zian Flemming is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the forward.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' The 24-year-old Eliot Matazo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 41' Alfie Jones is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 46' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 51' The travelling Hull City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' A tactical swap from Hull City AFC — Louie Barry on, Abu Kamara off on 58 minutes.
- 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nordin Amrabat suffering a number of foals already.
- 64' Joao Pedro Galvao is replacing Kyle Joseph for the Hull City AFC side.
- 65' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Matt Crooks is replaced by Mason Burstow.
- 70' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hull City AFC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 74' Zian Flemming makes way for Marcus Edwards at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Steven Alzate is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
- 80' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Hannibal Mejbri is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Nordin Amrabat. He replaces Joe Gelhardt on 84 minute.
- 85' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Eliot Matazo is replaced by Regan Slater on 85 minute.
- 90' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Lyle Foster is replaced by Ashley Barnes.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Marcus Edwards 74'
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Ashley Barnes 90'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Joe Worrall 90'
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↑ 74'
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 90'
- 26
- 10
-
4
Joe Worrall ↑ 90'
- 32
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 80'
- 23
- 34
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 2
-
30
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Nordin Amrabat 84'
- 19
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
36
Eliot Matazo ↓ Regan Slater 85'
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 64'
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ Louie Barry 58'
-
24
Matt Crooks ↓ Mason Burstow 65'
Bench
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 85'
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 64'
-
22
Louie Barry ↑ 58'
- 23
- 29
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 65'
- 32
- 20
-
37
Nordin Amrabat ↑ 84'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nathan Tella | 3 |
| Ozan Tufan | 3 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Xavier Simons | 1 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 1 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Hull City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Hull City AFC
49%
Burnley FC or Hull City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Hull City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.