Watford FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Coventry City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Coventry City FC 46 games · 95 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Craig Taylor
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Maidstone United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Preston North End FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Coventry City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 57 | Points | 95 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 28 / 11 / 7 |
| 53 | Scored | 97 |
| 65 | Conceded | 45 |
| -12 | GD | +52 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 2.07 |
| 30% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Coventry City FC are 1st (95 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Vicarage Road as Watford FC face off against Coventry City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Bradley Collins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Coventry City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' Liam Kelly picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 20' Against the run of play, Ryan Porteous has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 23' Controversy at the stadium! Kasey Palmer argues furiously but the card stands.
- 26' Wesley Hoedt is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
- 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Wesley Hoedt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 39 Yellow cards this season.
- 40' What composure from Haji Wright! The USA international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 45' A moment of madness from Jake Bidwell on 45 minutes earns him a card. Coventry City FC will be frustrated.
- 46' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze by Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 46 minute.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Coventry City FC's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 56' Coventry City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' Ben Sheaf is replacing Victor Torp for the Coventry City FC side.
- 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 64' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Emmanuel Dennis is replaced by Matheus Martins on 64 minute.
- 66' Bobby Thomas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' Coventry City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' What a strike from Haji Wright! The score is 1-2.
- 76' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Ismael Kone is replaced by Tom Ince on 76 minute.
- 81' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Coventry City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 86' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Mileta Rajovic on, Yaser Asprilla off on 86 minutes.
- 87' The Coventry City FC manager makes a substitution. Ellis Simms departs to be replaced by Matt Godden.
- 88' Haji Wright picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Coventry City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 25
- 4
- 6
- 1
- 5
- 39
- 16
- 24
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Ince 76'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Mileta Rajovic 86'
- 45
Bench
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 76'
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 46'
- 15
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 64'
- 42
- 59
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 86'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Coventry City FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 40
- 21
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↓ Callum O'Hare 58'
-
6
Liam Kelly ↓ Milan van Ewijk 46'
- 28
- 11
- 15
- 22
- 4
-
9
Ellis Simms ↓ Matt Godden 87'
-
29
Victor Torp ↓ Ben Sheaf 58'
Bench
- 3
-
10
Callum O'Hare ↑ 58'
- 13
-
24
Matt Godden ↑ 87'
- 30
-
14
Ben Sheaf ↑ 58'
-
27
Milan van Ewijk ↑ 46'
- 2
- 54
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ellis Simms | 4 |
| Victor Torp | 3 |
| Andre Gray | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Haji Wright | 2 |
| Matt Godden | 2 |
| Ben Sheaf | 1 |
| Matheus Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Coventry City FC Form
2024-03-09
Watford FC
1–2
Coventry City FC
W
2024-03-05
Coventry City FC
5–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2024-03-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–1
Coventry City FC
L
2024-02-26
Coventry City FC
5–0
Maidstone United FC
W
2024-02-23
Coventry City FC
0–3
Preston North End FC
L
2024-02-17
Stoke City FC
0–1
Coventry City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92
Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Coventry City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Coventry City FC
77%
Watford FC or Coventry City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Coventry City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 23% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

