Watford FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Coventry City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Coventry City FC 46 games · 95 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Craig Taylor
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Maidstone United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Preston North End FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road!
- 5' Bobby Thomas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 18' Controversy at the stadium! Liam Kelly argues furiously but the card stands.
- 20' Ryan Porteous doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 23' It’s gonna be a card for Kasey Palmer.
- 26' Wesley Hoedt picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Coventry City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Haji Wright makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Coventry City FC are in front.
- 45' Coventry City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Giorgi Chakvetadze makes way for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 51' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Coventry City FC's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 58' Ben Sheaf has so much to prove this time. He replaces Victor Torp on 58 minute.
- 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Coventry City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 64' Matheus Martins gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Emmanuel Dennis and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' That is a card for Coventry City FC. Bobby Thomas will be fuming at that decision.
- 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bradley Collins, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 72' A goal from the USA international Haji Wright! He fires home on 72 to make it 1-2!
- 76' Another change for Watford FC made on 76 minute. Ismael Kone leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- 81' Coventry City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 86' The crowd applauds Yaser Asprilla as he leaves the pitch. Mileta Rajovic steps in for Watford FC.
- 87' Ellis Simms makes way for Matt Godden at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Coventry City FC.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Haji Wright on 88 minutes.
- The points are shared — Watford FC 1-2 Coventry City FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 25
- 4
- 6
- 1
- 5
- 39
- 16
- 24
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Ince 76'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Mileta Rajovic 86'
- 45
Bench
- 26
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 76'
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 46'
- 15
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 64'
- 42
- 59
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 86'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Coventry City FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 40
- 21
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↓ Callum O'Hare 58'
-
6
Liam Kelly ↓ Milan van Ewijk 46'
- 28
- 11
- 15
- 22
- 4
-
9
Ellis Simms ↓ Matt Godden 87'
-
29
Victor Torp ↓ Ben Sheaf 58'
Bench
- 3
-
10
Callum O'Hare ↑ 58'
- 13
-
24
Matt Godden ↑ 87'
- 30
-
14
Ben Sheaf ↑ 58'
-
27
Milan van Ewijk ↑ 46'
- 2
- 54
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ellis Simms | 4 |
| Victor Torp | 3 |
| Andre Gray | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Haji Wright | 2 |
| Matt Godden | 2 |
| Ben Sheaf | 1 |
| Matheus Martins | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Coventry City FC Form
2024-03-09
Watford FC
1–2
Coventry City FC
W
2024-03-05
Coventry City FC
5–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2024-03-01
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–1
Coventry City FC
L
2024-02-26
Coventry City FC
5–0
Maidstone United FC
W
2024-02-23
Coventry City FC
0–3
Preston North End FC
L
2024-02-17
Stoke City FC
0–1
Coventry City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Coventry City FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Coventry City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Coventry City FC
68%
Watford FC or Coventry City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Coventry City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

