Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Darren Bond
- Referee Oliver Langford
- Referee Robert Hyde
- Referee Mark Russell
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Rotherham United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | AFC Bournemouth | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Reading FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Barnsley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 56 |
| -12 | GD | +1 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 4' Ken Sema makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Watford FC are in front.
- 9' Birmingham City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 14' It looks surprising Watford FC does not make any changes. Femenia Far has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lee Bowyer will be considering his options from the bench.
- 34' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Kristian Pedersen is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Isaac Success. He receives a Yellow card.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 54' Joao Pedro is a natural centre-forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
- 55' Nathaniel Chalobah does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
- 56' The crowd applauds Dan Gosling as he leaves the pitch. Carlos Sanchez steps in for Watford FC.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Joseph Hungbo. He replaces Isaac Success on 57 minute.
- 61' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Jeremie Bela is replaced by San Jose.
- 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dan Gosling made 335 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 67' The whistle greets Adam Masina as he departs to be replaced by Achraf Lazaar.
- 72' It’s high time Lee Bowyer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 77' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 78' Another substitution for Birmingham City FC to replace Gary Gardner by Ivan Sunjic on 78 minute.
- 80' What a strike from Andre Gray! The score is 3-0.
- 80' The crowd applauds Joao Pedro as he leaves the pitch. Jeremy Ngakia steps in for Watford FC.
- 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' Jonathan Leko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Adam Masina ↓ Achraf Lazaar 67'
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Andre Gray 80'
- 19
- 21
- 14
-
22
Isaac Success ↓ Joseph Hungbo 57'
-
16
Dan Gosling ↓ Carlos Sanchez 56'
- 5
- 31
- 26
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Jeremy Ngakia 80'
Bench
- 6
- 1
- 15
-
18
Andre Gray ↑ 80'
-
17
Achraf Lazaar ↑ 67'
-
28
Carlos Sanchez ↑ 56'
- 25
-
3
Jeremy Ngakia ↑ 80'
-
44
Joseph Hungbo ↑ 57'
Coach
Xisco Munoz
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 30
- 4
- 2
- 12
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↓ Sam Cosgrove 78'
-
20
Gary Gardner ↓ Ivan Sunjic 78'
- 3
-
9
Scott Hogan ↓ Jonathan Leko 61'
- 35
-
11
Jeremie Bela ↓ San Jose 61'
Bench
-
14
Jonathan Leko ↑ 61'
- 5
- 42
-
19
San Jose ↑ 61'
- 1
-
17
Ivan Sanchez Aguayo ↑ 61'
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↑ 78'
-
16
Sam Cosgrove ↑ 78'
- 18
Coach
Lee Bowyer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Nathaniel Chalobah | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2021-03-20
Watford FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2021-03-17
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Reading FC
W
2021-03-13
Birmingham City FC
0–3
Bristol City FC
L
2021-03-06
Barnsley FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2021-03-02
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2021-02-27
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
39%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.