Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Qarabağ Ağdam FK H 5–1 W
21 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
05 Oct Molde FK A 2–1 W
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
05 Oct BK Häcken A 1–0 W
21 Sep Molde FK H 1–0 W
31 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
24 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 2–0 W
17 Aug Helsingin JK A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BayArena will turn into a battlefield for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 4' Florian Wirtz adds to his 2 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 9' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Alejandro Grimaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' It’s gonna be a card for Florian Wirtz.
  • 16' A goal from the Azerbaijan international Toral Bayramov! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-1!
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Leandro Andrade is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — card on 19.
  • 24' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' Alejandro Grimaldo doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bahlul Mustafazada is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 35' Brilliant from the ! Victor Boniface makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 35.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Robert Andrich.
  • 45' The referee shows Qarabag Agdam FK player a card on 45.
  • 46' Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yassine Benzia is hanging Matheus Silva on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Piero Hincapie made 170 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' What a strike from Alejandro Grimaldo! The score is 4-1.
  • 57' Edmond Tapsoba makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
  • 62' Exequiel Palacios is ready to make an impact after coming on for Granit Xhaka at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patrick Andrade is hanging Marko Jankovic on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bayer 04 Leverkusen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 70' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Florian Wirtz departs to be replaced by Adam Hlozek.
  • 71' Leandro Andrade makes way for Nəriman Axundzadə at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 76' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' Elvin Cəfərquliyev is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Alejandro Grimaldo as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Puerta steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 85' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 87' Qarabag Agdam FK make a change. Abdellah Zoubir trudges off to be replaced by Hamidou Keyta on 87 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Qarabag Agdam FK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen66% Draw19% Qarabağ Ağdam FK15%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
85%
Draw or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
34%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw36% Qarabağ Ağdam FK13%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.