Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
03 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–0 W
31 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
28 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–0 W
24 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
07 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
03 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
31 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen69% Draw20% FC St. Pauli 191011%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
89%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
31%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen49% Draw42% FC St. Pauli 19109%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 21% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 24% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.