Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 12 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'
Alejandro Grimaldo 23' 1–0
Odilon Kossounou 57' 2–0
Jonathan Tah 73' 3–0
Nathan Tella 83' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
09 Nov Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–0 W
04 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
01 Nov SV Sandhausen 1916 A 5–2 W
29 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
26 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
08 Nov SSC Napoli A 1–1 D
04 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–3 L
31 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
28 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–2 L
24 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FC Union Berlin
#6 Position #11
59 Points 39
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
68 Scored 44
47 Conceded 58
+21 GD -14
1.74 PPG 1.15
50% Win % 29%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 74% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen74% Draw17% 1. FC Union Berlin9%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
90%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
26%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Union Berlin
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen56% Draw35% 1. FC Union Berlin9%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
3 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
5 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 21% 45%
-1.5 55% 45%
-1 55% 21% 24%
-0.5 76% 24%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
46%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.