Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Juan Sacchi
- Referee Mauro Galetto
- Referee Valentino Fiorito
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | Torino FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | AC Milan | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | AS Roma | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | Atalanta BC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Feb | SPAL 2013 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Feb | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | AC Chievo Verona | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 59 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 15 / 14 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 41 |
| 36 | Conceded | 50 |
| +15 | GD | -9 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Atalanta BC host ACF Fiorentina — let the battle begin!
- 3' GOAL! Luis Muriel fires home to make it 0-1!
- 6' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Federico Ceccherini.
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atalanta BC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 26' Atalanta BC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's shape.
- 28' Josip Ilicic does the damage! The net is bulging and Atalanta BC surge ahead!
- 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gian Piero Gasperini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' The deadlock is broken! Alejandro Gomez gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
- 35' The referee calls foul for Andrea Masiello. He receives a Yellow card.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' Atalanta BC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 49' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Andrea Masiello exits the field as Jose Luis Palomino enters on 49.
- 54' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 59' Robin Gosens adds to his 0 season tally! Atalanta BC lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 64' Nikola Milenkovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 65' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — German Pezzella exits the field as Vitor Hugo enters on 65.
- 69' Atalanta BC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 73' Mario Pasalic gets the nod from Atalanta BC. He replaces Duvan Zapata and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Cristiano Biraghi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 81' Jordan Veretout catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
- 85' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — Federico Ceccherini exits the field as Marko Pjaca enters on 85.
- 86' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a Yellow card on 86.
- 88' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 88 minute. Remo Freuler leaves to be changed by Hans Hateboer.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Atalanta BC players.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 95
- 5
- 21
- 23
- 10
-
11
Remo Freuler ↓ Hans Hateboer 88'
- 72
- 8
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Mario Pasalic 73'
- 19
Bench
- 41
- 1
- 31
-
33
Hans Hateboer ↑ 88'
-
6
Jose Luis Palomino ↑ 49'
- 99
- 44
- 22
-
88
Mario Pasalic ↑ 73'
- 7
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
20
German Pezzella C ↓ Vitor Hugo 65'
- 4
- 3
-
2
Vincent Laurini ↓ Bryan Dabo 65'
- 25
- 17
- 9
- 5
- 26
- 1
Bench
- 33
-
31
Vitor Hugo ↑ 65'
- 24
-
14
Bryan Dabo ↑ 65'
- 8
-
10
Marko Pjaca ↑ 85'
- 11
- 16
- 6
- 23
- 27
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Ademola Lookman | 4 |
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Andrea Belotti | 2 |
| Robin Gosens | 2 |
| Moise Kean | 2 |
| Federico Chiesa | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
76%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
49%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

