Thursday , 2 July 2026

SPAL 2013 vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
Sun 17 Feb 2019 · 11:30 UTC Stadio Paolo Mazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SPAL 2013 vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Paolo Mazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Mauro Tonolini
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Gianmattia Tasso
  • Referee Manuel Volpi
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb ACF Fiorentina H 1–4 L
10 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Torino FC H 0–0 D
27 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–2 W
20 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 1–1 D
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb SPAL 2013 A 4–1 W
09 Feb SSC Napoli H 0–0 D
03 Feb Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
27 Jan AC Chievo Verona A 4–3 W
20 Jan UC Sampdoria H 3–3 D
29 Dec Genoa CFC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Paolo Mazza that hosts another battle between SPAL 2013 and ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' SPAL 2013 is showing some good football. However, SPAL 2013 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 8' A moment of madness from Edimilson Fernandes on 8 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 13' It is a substitution in SPAL 2013 team. Manuel Lazzari is replaced by Alessandro Murgia on 13 minute.
  • 18' Giovanni Simeone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Jordan Veretout picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 30' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristiano Biraghi on 35.
  • 36' SPAL 2013 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Andrea Petagna on 36.
  • 39' Mohamed Salim Fares is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Thiago Cionek.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Edimilson Fernandes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Federico Ceccherini has done his job and it is now time for Vincent Laurini to step up.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bryan Dabo, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Paolo Mazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Nikola Milenkovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordan Veretout suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' Kevin Bonifazi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Marco Benassi departs to be replaced by Giovanni Simeone.
  • 77' ACF Fiorentina are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 78' Pasquale Schiattarella catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 78.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jordan Veretout makes it 1-2.
  • 80' Goal! Giovanni Simeone scores his 65 goal in 456 matches.
  • 82' Bryan Dabo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edimilson Fernandes on 82 minute.
  • 86' SPAL 2013 make a change. Felipe trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Floccari on 86 minutes.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Gerson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 SPAL 2013 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: SPAL 2013 or ACF Fiorentina 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SPAL 201329% Draw28% ACF Fiorentina43%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SPAL 2013 or Draw
57%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
71%
SPAL 2013 or ACF Fiorentina
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SPAL 201321% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SPAL 2013

Handicap SPAL 2013 covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SPAL 2013 keeps clean sheet
22%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.