Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC Villa Park 41,628 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Ramsey 8' 1–0
1–1 70' Emerson

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Jan AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
15 Jan Everton FC A 1–0 W
10 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Fulham FC H 3–2 W
10 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–4 L
29 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–5 L

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 West Ham United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC52% Draw26% West Ham United FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or West Ham United FC
48%
Aston Villa FC or West Ham United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw47% West Ham United FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push West Ham United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
West Ham United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.