Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 17:35 UTC Villa Park 40,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Ramsey 1' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 64' 2–0
2–1 90+1' Mathys Tel

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
29 Jan Celtic FC H 4–2 W
26 Jan West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Jan AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
02 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W
30 Jan IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
26 Jan Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
23 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
19 Jan Everton FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Villa Park!
  • 1' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jacob Ramsey makes it 1-0.
  • 6' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 11' Leon Bailey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their trying to find a way past Tottenham Hotspur FC's compact .
  • 26' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Ezri Konsa has done his job and it is now time for Lamare Bogarde to step up.
  • 31' Heung-min Son is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 41' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Mikey Moore as he leaves the pitch. Yves Bissouma steps in for Tottenham Hotspur FC.
  • 51' Aston Villa FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 56' Tottenham Hotspur FC is showing some good football. However, Tottenham Hotspur FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Rodrigo Bentancur. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Bergvall on 62 minutes.
  • 64' The deadlock is broken! Morgan Rogers gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
  • 66' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 66 minute. Donyell Malen leaves to be changed by Marcus Rashford.
  • 71' Donyell Malen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 118 goals in his last 440 appearances.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Rodrigo Bentancur as he leaves the pitch. Pape Sarr steps in for Tottenham Hotspur FC.
  • 78' Aston Villa FC have won 498 goals from 357 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Pedro Porro is booked for Tottenham Hotspur FC — card on 80.
  • 81' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Digne departs to be replaced by Ian Maatsen.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Aston Villa FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC43% Draw26% Tottenham Hotspur FC31%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
57%
Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw44% Tottenham Hotspur FC27%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.