Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 17:35 UTC Villa Park 40,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Ramsey 1' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 64' 2–0
2–1 90+1' Mathys Tel

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FCFA Cup at Villa Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
29 Jan Celtic FC H 4–2 W
26 Jan West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Jan AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
02 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W
30 Jan IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
26 Jan Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
23 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
19 Jan Everton FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 1' Jacob Ramsey makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 6' The travelling Tottenham Hotspur FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 11' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' Over 21 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' Aston Villa FC make a change. Ezri Konsa trudges off to be replaced by Lamare Bogarde on 26 minutes.
  • 31' The 26-year-old Pedro Porro has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tottenham Hotspur FC that had 385 games and scored 662 goals.
  • 41' Kevin Danso has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 433 appearances.
  • 46' Another substitution for Tottenham Hotspur FC to replace Mikey Moore by Yves Bissouma on 46 minute.
  • 51' Yves Bissouma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' Rodrigo Bentancur was booked on 60.
  • 62' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Bergvall argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 64' What a moment for Morgan Rogers! That strike on 64 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Donyell Malen has done his job and it is now time for Marcus Rashford to step up.
  • 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 73' Tottenham Hotspur FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pape Sarr is hanging Rodrigo Bentancur on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Pedro Porro.
  • 81' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ian Maatsen is hanging Lucas Digne on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 2-1 the final result. Tottenham Hotspur FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC43% Draw26% Tottenham Hotspur FC31%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
57%
Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw44% Tottenham Hotspur FC27%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.