Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 17:35 UTC Villa Park 40,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Ramsey 1' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 64' 2–0
2–1 90+1' Mathys Tel

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
29 Jan Celtic FC H 4–2 W
26 Jan West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Jan AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
02 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W
30 Jan IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
26 Jan Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
23 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
19 Jan Everton FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC43% Draw26% Tottenham Hotspur FC31%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
57%
Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw44% Tottenham Hotspur FC27%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.