Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 17:35 UTC Villa Park 40,773 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Ramsey 1' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 64' 2–0
2–1 90+1' Mathys Tel

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FCFA Cup at Villa Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
29 Jan Celtic FC H 4–2 W
26 Jan West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
21 Jan AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
02 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W
30 Jan IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
26 Jan Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
23 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
19 Jan Everton FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Aston Villa FC is hosting Tottenham Hotspur FC for another epic battle.
  • 1' Magnificent from Jacob Ramsey! That is 22 goals in 355 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 6' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 16' Ian Maatsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
  • 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' Ezri Konsa makes way for Lamare Bogarde at the 26 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Another change for Tottenham Hotspur FC made on 46 minute. Mikey Moore leaves to be changed by Yves Bissouma.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' Tottenham Hotspur FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Rodrigo Bentancur argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 62' That is a card for Tottenham Hotspur FC. Lucas Bergvall will be fuming at that decision.
  • 64' Assisted by Donyell Malen with the perfectly-timed delivery and Morgan Rogers makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 66' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Donyell Malen is replaced by Marcus Rashford on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Heung-min Son suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' Pape Sarr is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rodrigo Bentancur at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Pedro Porro.
  • 81' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Lucas Digne has done his job and it is now time for Ian Maatsen to step up.
  • 86' Boubacar Kamara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC43% Draw26% Tottenham Hotspur FC31%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
57%
Aston Villa FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw44% Tottenham Hotspur FC27%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.