Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park 38,991 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 79' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
29 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
17 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–0 W
14 Sep Everton FC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
21 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
17 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 9–2 W
14 Sep Holstein Kiel A 6–1 W
01 Sep SC Freiburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Emiliano Buendia 1 G
John McGinn 1 G
Nicolas Jackson 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Kingsley Coman has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' That looks like a foul for a card for Dayot Upamecano.
  • 26' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leroy Sane is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 27' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Leon Bailey comes on to replace Jacob Ramsey.
  • 32' Jacob Ramsey has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 37' The 29-year-old Youri Tielemans has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Kingsley Coman is withdrawn and Jamal Musiala gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Ross Barkley gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Amadou Onana and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Serge Gnabry picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Leroy Sane on, Michael Olise off on 66 minutes.
  • 70' Jhon Duran is replacing Ollie Watkins for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 75' Ollie Watkins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 138 goals in his last 349 appearances.
  • 76' Joao Palhinha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandar Pavlovic at the 76 minute mark.
  • 79' What a moment for Jhon Duran! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 86' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Konrad Laimer by Mathys Tel on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ian Maatsen. He receives a card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw28% FC Bayern München28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Bayern München
56%
Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC28% Draw49% FC Bayern München23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.