Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
18 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–2 L
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 May FC Tōkyō H 2–3 L
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
26 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
17 May Yokohama FC H 0–1 L
11 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Denka Big Swan Stadium that hosts another battle between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Japan international Kohei Okuno has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luiz Phellype on 20.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kaito Taniguchi makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 36' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Yutaro Oda on, Luiz Phellype off on 56 minutes.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' Yota Komi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 71 minutes.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 80' Danilo is replacing Jin Okumura for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 81' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Taiyo Hiraoka exits the field as Akimi Barada enters on 81.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Keisuke Kasai on, Kaito Taniguchi off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 89' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ken Yamura is hanging Yota Komi on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' Ryo Nemoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaki Ikeda on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.61 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata48% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
74%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Albirex Niigata or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.