Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
18 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–2 L
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 May FC Tōkyō H 2–3 L
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
26 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
17 May Yokohama FC H 0–1 L
11 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Shonan Bellmare have won 315 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Magnificent from Luiz Phellype! That is 22 goals in 516 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 25' Japan international Yutaro Oda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 31' A stunning finish from Kaito Taniguchi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jason Geria is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
  • 56' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Luiz Phellype departs to be replaced by Yutaro Oda.
  • 61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 66' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 71' Yota Komi does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
  • 76' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Shonan Bellmare's shape.
  • 80' Danilo gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Jin Okumura and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Taiyo Hiraoka departs to be replaced by Akimi Barada.
  • 83' Keisuke Kasai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaito Taniguchi at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Sere Matsumura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 89' Ken Yamura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yota Komi at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 90 minute. Masaki Ikeda leaves to be changed by Ryo Nemoto.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.61 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata48% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
74%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Albirex Niigata or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.