Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan BellmareJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
18 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–2 L
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 May FC Tokyo H 2–3 L
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
26 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
17 May Yokohama FC H 0–1 L
11 May Tokyo Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium!
  • 5' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Luiz Phellype has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luiz Phellype on 20.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kaito Taniguchi makes it 1-1.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 51' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yutaro Oda is hanging Luiz Phellype on the field on 56 minute.
  • 61' Tomoya Fujii is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shonan Bellmare so far.
  • 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' Yota Komi adds to his 1 season tally! Albirex Niigata lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 80' Jin Okumura makes way for Danilo at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 81' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Taiyo Hiraoka by Akimi Barada on 81 minute.
  • 83' Kaito Taniguchi makes way for Keisuke Kasai at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' Ken Yamura is replacing Yota Komi for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 90' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryo Nemoto is hanging Masaki Ikeda on the field on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.61 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata48% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
74%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Albirex Niigata or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.