Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 4 Jun 2023 · 19:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Ciro Carbone
  • Referee Giovanni Baccini

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Spezia Calcio H 2–1 W
31 May Sevilla FC A 2–5 L
27 May ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
22 May US Salernitana 1919 H 2–2 D
18 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
14 May Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun AS Roma A 1–2 L
27 May Torino FC H 0–4 L
21 May US Lecce A 0–0 D
13 May AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 May US Cremonese A 0–2 L
03 May Atalanta BC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma54% Draw25% Spezia Calcio21%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
80%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
46%
AS Roma or Spezia Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma35% Draw47% Spezia Calcio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.