Monday , 27 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
19 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 8.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
31 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Liverpool FC H 3–2 W
19 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
10 Jan Newcastle United FC A 9–10 L
07 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
01 Feb Brentford FC H 0–1 L
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 3–2 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC A 2–0 W
22 Jan Fenerbahçe SK A 1–0 W
18 Jan Everton FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #7
57 Points 65
38 Played 38
13 / 18 / 7 W / D / L 19 / 8 / 11
58 Scored 56
54 Conceded 49
+4 GD +7
1.50 PPG 1.71
34% Win % 50%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Bournemouth are 9th (57 pts). Aston Villa FC are 7th (65 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth34% Draw27% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
62%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
66%
AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth24% Draw45% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
21%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.