Newcastle United FC vs AFC Bournemouth, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

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FA Cup · 2025-26

Newcastle United FC

10 – 9

7 – 6 pen

Full Time

AFC Bournemouth

Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs AFC Bournemouth — FA Cup .

Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
AFC Bournemouth 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Bramall

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United FC 13 games · Avg 4.2 goals AFC Bournemouth

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-10 Newcastle United FC 10–9 AFC Bournemouth 2025-09-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United FC 2025-01-18 Newcastle United FC 1–4 AFC Bournemouth 2024-08-25 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle United FC 2024-02-17 Newcastle United FC 2–2 AFC Bournemouth

Recent Form

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	AFC Bournemouth	H	10–9	W
07 Jan	Leeds United FC	H	4–3	W
04 Jan	Crystal Palace FC	H	2–0	W
30 Dec	Burnley FC	A	3–1	W
26 Dec	Manchester United FC	A	0–1	L
20 Dec	Chelsea FC	H	2–2	D

AFC Bournemouth

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Newcastle United FC	A	9–10	L
07 Jan	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	3–2	W
03 Jan	Arsenal FC	H	2–3	L
30 Dec	Chelsea FC	A	2–2	D
27 Dec	Brentford FC	A	1–4	L
20 Dec	Burnley FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Harvey Barnes

3 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Newcastle United FC and AFC Bournemouth.
10-9 the final result. AFC Bournemouth will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Justin Kluivert	3
Salomon Rondon	3
Dominic Solanke	3
Marcus Tavernier	2
Miguel Almiron	2
Matt Ritchie	2
Joshua King	2
Anthony Gordon	2

Head to Head

Newcastle United FC Form

2026-01-10 Newcastle United FC 10–9 AFC Bournemouth W 2026-01-07 Newcastle United FC 4–3 Leeds United FC W 2026-01-04 Newcastle United FC 2–0 Crystal Palace FC W 2025-12-30 Burnley FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC W 2025-12-26 Manchester United FC 1–0 Newcastle United FC L 2025-12-20 Newcastle United FC 2–2 Chelsea FC D

AFC Bournemouth Form

2026-01-10 Newcastle United FC 10–9 AFC Bournemouth L 2026-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 3–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2026-01-03 AFC Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal FC L 2025-12-30 Chelsea FC 2–2 AFC Bournemouth D 2025-12-27 Brentford FC 4–1 AFC Bournemouth L 2025-12-20 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Burnley FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.02 Newcastle United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.61 AFC Bournemouth xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Newcastle United FC51% Draw19% AFC Bournemouth30%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes87% 0% No13%

Avg goals/match: 5.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	97%	3%
± 2.5	91%	9%
± 3.5	79%	21%
± 4.5	64%	36%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw

69%

Draw or AFC Bournemouth

49%

Newcastle United FC or AFC Bournemouth

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Newcastle United FC39% Draw31% AFC Bournemouth30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 10–9 not predicted

10 – 9

Actual

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.7%

3 – 3

4.7%

2 – 1

4.4%

3 – 1

4.3%

4 – 2

4.1%

1 – 2

3.8%

4 – 3

3.5%

1 – 1

3.4%

1 – 3

3.3%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap	Newcastle United FC covers	Push	AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	13%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	16%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	14%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	10%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.