Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
7 1
Full Time
Sun 16 Oct 2022 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Schaap
  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Referee Erik Kleinjan
  • Referee Patrick Inia
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct SBV Excelsior H 7–1 W
12 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–4 L
08 Oct FC Volendam A 4–2 W
04 Oct SSC Napoli H 1–6 L
01 Oct Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
18 Sep AZ A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct AFC Ajax A 1–7 L
08 Oct NEC A 1–1 D
02 Oct FC Utrecht H 0–1 L
17 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
10 Sep FC Emmen H 2–1 W
04 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–5 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#8 Position #6
3 Points 3
1 Played 2
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 5
0 Conceded 2
+2 GD +3
3.00 PPG 1.50
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

AFC Ajax are 8th (3 pts). SBV Excelsior are 6th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.23 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax76% Draw15% SBV Excelsior9%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
90%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
24%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax63% Draw30% SBV Excelsior7%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–1 not predicted
7 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
4 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 1
5.3%
5 – 0
5%
5 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 44% 56%
-2 44% 21% 35%
-1.5 65% 35%
-1 65% 17% 18%
-0.5 82% 18%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
45%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.