AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Charles Schaap
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Referee Erik Kleinjan
- Referee Patrick Inia
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | SBV Excelsior | H | 7–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | SSC Napoli | A | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Volendam | A | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 1–6 | L |
| 01 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | AZ | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | AFC Ajax | A | 1–7 | L |
| 08 Oct | NEC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | FC Utrecht | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Emmen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #15 |
| 25 | Points | 11 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 29 |
| +17 | GD | -13 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
17%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). SBV Excelsior are 15th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/–
31-45
6/6
46-60
1/4
61-75
3/6
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
SBV Excelsior
| Irakli Yegoian | 3 G | 5 A |
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AFC Ajax to score. At the same time, SBV Excelsior does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their trying to find a way past SBV Excelsior's compact .
- 10' SBV Excelsior are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Goal! Jorge Sanchez scores his 3 goal in 13 matches.
- 16' Jorge Sanchez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 26' Goal! Steven Berghuis scores his 86 goal in 337 matches.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' GOAL! Brian Brobbey scores on 44. Assisted by Dusan Tadic
- 46' Time for substitution for SBV Excelsior. Nathan Markelo is replaced by Joshua Eijgenraam.
- 51' The travelling SBV Excelsior supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' AFC Ajax are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SBV Excelsior backline.
- 59' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 5-0.
- 60' Brian Brobbey makes no mistake. The score reads 6-0 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 64' Dusan Tadic doubles the advantage! 7-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' Dusan Tadic with the second goal in the match!
- 70' The SBV Excelsior manager makes a substitution. Mike van Duinen departs to be replaced by Lazaros Lamprou.
- 74' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Steven Berghuis is replaced by Francisco Conceicao.
- 75' Steven Bergwijn doubles the advantage! 9-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 78' AFC Ajax make a change. Jorge Sanchez trudges off to be replaced by Youri Baas on 78 minutes.
- 79' Another substitution for SBV Excelsior to replace Couhaib Driouech by Marouan Azarkan on 79 minute.
- 81' Mohammed Kudus doubles the advantage! 10-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 82' A stunning finish from Mohammed Kudus — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' Brian Brobbey makes way for Lorenzo Lucca at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Serano Seymor suffering a number of foals already.
- 90' Nikolas Agrafiotis does the damage! The net is bulging and SBV Excelsior surge ahead!
- Game over. The scoreline of 7-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 22
-
10
Dusan Tadic ↓ Mohammed Kudus 74'
-
17
Daley Blind ↓ Owen Wijndal 46'
- 23
- 4
-
19
Jorge Sanchez ↓ Youri Baas 78'
- 2
- 3
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Lorenzo Lucca 84'
Bench
-
18
Lorenzo Lucca ↑ 84'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
- 21
- 29
-
20
Mohammed Kudus ↑ 74'
- 16
- 26
-
35
Francisco Conceicao ↑ 74'
-
25
Youri Baas ↑ 78'
Coach
Alfred Schreuder
SBV Excelsior Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Adrian Fein 70'
- 2
- 29
- 28
- 9
- 24
- 33
- 14
- 34
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
5
Adrian Fein ↑ 70'
-
22
Lazaros Lamprou ↑ 70'
- 18
- 11
- 17
-
10
Marouan Azarkan ↑ 79'
- 38
-
6
Joshua Eijgenraam ↑ 46'
-
7
Nikolas Agrafiotis ↑ 84'
Coach
Marinus Dijkhuizen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Devyne Rensch | 2 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.43
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + AFC Ajax to win 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
90%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
22%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
4 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
5 – 1
6.3%
4 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
5 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
4.8%
6 – 1
4.7%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
6 – 0
3.9%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| -2 | 55% | 17% | 27% |
| -1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| -1 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| -0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.