AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- SBV Excelsior 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Charles Schaap
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Referee Erik Kleinjan
- Referee Patrick Inia
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | SBV Excelsior | H | 7–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | SSC Napoli | A | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Volendam | A | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 1–6 | L |
| 01 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | AZ | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | AFC Ajax | A | 1–7 | L |
| 08 Oct | NEC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | FC Utrecht | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Emmen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | A | 2–5 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | SBV Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 |
| 21 | Scored | 15 |
| 9 | Conceded | 9 |
| +12 | GD | +6 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 57% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
29%
Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
SBV Excelsior this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
SBV Excelsior
| Aymen Sliti | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Garden | 3 G | |
| Irakli Yegoian | 2 G | 5 A |
| Noah Naujoks | 2 G | |
| Casper Widell | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior get this one started.
- 5' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' What a moment for Jorge Sanchez! That strike on 15 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' Jorge Sanchez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' Edson Alvarez is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for SBV Excelsior tonight.
- 26' Brilliant from the ! Steven Berghuis makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 26.
- 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 36' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brian Brobbey makes it 4-0.
- 46' The crowd applauds Nathan Markelo as he leaves the pitch. Joshua Eijgenraam steps in for SBV Excelsior.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' The travelling SBV Excelsior supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 5-0.
- 60' The Netherlands Brian Brobbey breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 6-0!
- 64' Dusan Tadic makes no mistake. The score reads 7-0 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 65' Goal! Dusan Tadic scores his 110 goal in 483 matches.
- 70' SBV Excelsior make a change. Mike van Duinen trudges off to be replaced by Lazaros Lamprou on 70 minutes.
- 74' Francisco Conceicao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Steven Berghuis at the 74 minute mark.
- 75' Steven Bergwijn makes no mistake. The score reads 9-0 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 78' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 78 minute. Jorge Sanchez leaves to be changed by Youri Baas.
- 79' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. Couhaib Driouech has done his job and it is now time for Marouan Azarkan to step up.
- 81' What composure from Mohammed Kudus! The Ghana international strokes it home. 10-0.
- 82' Mohammed Kudus does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
- 84' The crowd applauds Brian Brobbey as he leaves the pitch. Lorenzo Lucca steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 89' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' GOAL! Nikolas Agrafiotis fires home to make it 11-1!
- AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 22
-
10
Dusan Tadic ↓ Mohammed Kudus 74'
-
17
Daley Blind ↓ Owen Wijndal 46'
- 23
- 4
-
19
Jorge Sanchez ↓ Youri Baas 78'
- 2
- 3
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Lorenzo Lucca 84'
Bench
-
18
Lorenzo Lucca ↑ 84'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
- 21
- 29
-
20
Mohammed Kudus ↑ 74'
- 16
- 26
-
35
Francisco Conceicao ↑ 74'
-
25
Youri Baas ↑ 78'
Coach
Alfred Schreuder
SBV Excelsior Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Adrian Fein 70'
- 2
- 29
- 28
- 9
- 24
- 33
- 14
- 34
- 1
- 4
Bench
-
5
Adrian Fein ↑ 70'
-
22
Lazaros Lamprou ↑ 70'
- 18
- 11
- 17
-
10
Marouan Azarkan ↑ 79'
- 38
-
6
Joshua Eijgenraam ↑ 46'
-
7
Nikolas Agrafiotis ↑ 84'
Coach
Marinus Dijkhuizen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 5 |
| Brian Brobbey | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 3 |
| Mohammed Kudus | 3 |
| Donny van de Beek | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Jorge Sanchez | 2 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.68
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
86%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
29%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
3 – 1
7%
4 – 1
6.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.9%
4 – 2
4.7%
5 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 1
3.8%
5 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | SBV Excelsior covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -2 | 40% | 18% | 42% |
| -1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 17% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

