Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
7 1
Full Time
Sun 16 Oct 2022 · 18:00 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Schaap
  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Referee Erik Kleinjan
  • Referee Patrick Inia
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct SBV Excelsior H 7–1 W
12 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–4 L
08 Oct FC Volendam A 4–2 W
04 Oct SSC Napoli H 1–6 L
01 Oct Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
18 Sep AZ A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct AFC Ajax A 1–7 L
08 Oct NEC A 1–1 D
02 Oct FC Utrecht H 0–1 L
17 Sep Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
10 Sep FC Emmen H 2–1 W
04 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–5 L

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SBV Excelsior
#2 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.52 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax69% Draw19% SBV Excelsior12%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
88%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
31%
AFC Ajax or SBV Excelsior
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax53% Draw37% SBV Excelsior10%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–1 not predicted
7 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11.4%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%
5 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 21% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 21% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
45%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.