SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

SC Heerenveen

2 – 1

Full Time

SBV Excelsior

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

SC Heerenveen 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
SBV Excelsior 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Richard Martens

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	FC Groningen	2	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	4
4	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
5	PSV	2	4
6	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	4
7	SBV Excelsior	2	3
8	NEC	2	3
9	AFC Ajax	1	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
11	FC Twente '65	2	3
12	SC Heerenveen	1	3
13	Telstar 1963	2	3
14	FC Utrecht	2	0
15	PEC Zwolle	2	0
16	ADO Den Haag	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

SC Heerenveen 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals SBV Excelsior

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 SC Heerenveen 2–1 SBV Excelsior 2024-01-19 SBV Excelsior 3–0 SC Heerenveen 2023-09-23 SC Heerenveen 0–3 SBV Excelsior 2023-05-13 SC Heerenveen 0–0 SBV Excelsior 2022-11-05 SBV Excelsior 0–1 SC Heerenveen

Recent Form

SC Heerenveen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	SBV Excelsior	H	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Utrecht	A	2–2	D
21 Sep	NEC	H	3–2	W
13 Sep	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	0–1	L
30 Aug	Go Ahead Eagles	H	2–2	D
24 Aug	FC Twente '65	H	1–2	L

SBV Excelsior

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	SC Heerenveen	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	PSV	H	1–2	L
20 Sep	FC Volendam	A	2–1	W
14 Sep	Sparta Rotterdam	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	FC Twente '65	H	1–0	W
24 Aug	FC Utrecht	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

SC Heerenveen		SBV Excelsior
#12	Position	#7
3	Points	3
1	Played	2
1 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 1
1	Scored	5
0	Conceded	2
+1	GD	+3
3.00	PPG	1.50
100%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
SC Heerenveen this season

50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

SC Heerenveen are 12th (3 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Heerenveen

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

SBV Excelsior

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: SBV Excelsior gets underway.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

SC Heerenveen Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Couhaib Driouech	3
Ali Messaoud	2
Ali Messaoud	2
Troy Parrott	2
Jizz Hornkamp	1
Lazaros Lamprou	1
Dave Bulthuis	1
Morten Thorsby	1

Head to Head

SC Heerenveen Form

2025-10-04 SC Heerenveen 2–1 SBV Excelsior W 2025-09-28 FC Utrecht 2–2 SC Heerenveen D 2025-09-21 SC Heerenveen 3–2 NEC W 2025-09-13 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–0 SC Heerenveen L 2025-08-30 SC Heerenveen 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles D 2025-08-24 SC Heerenveen 1–2 FC Twente '65 L

SBV Excelsior Form

2025-10-04 SC Heerenveen 2–1 SBV Excelsior L 2025-09-27 SBV Excelsior 1–2 PSV L 2025-09-20 FC Volendam 1–2 SBV Excelsior W 2025-09-14 SBV Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam L 2025-08-30 SBV Excelsior 1–0 FC Twente '65 W 2025-08-24 FC Utrecht 4–1 SBV Excelsior L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.12 SC Heerenveen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.76 SBV Excelsior xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Heerenveen46% Draw31% SBV Excelsior23%

Actual: SC Heerenveen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes37% 0% No63%

Avg goals/match: 1.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	82%	18%
± 1.5	56%	44%
± 2.5	29%	71%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

SC Heerenveen or Draw

77%

Draw or SBV Excelsior

54%

SC Heerenveen or SBV Excelsior

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Heerenveen28% Draw56% SBV Excelsior16%

Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.8%

1 – 0

15.8%

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 1

10.1%

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

3.4%

2 – 2

2.8%

3 – 1

2.8%

1 – 3

1.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Heerenveen

Handicap	SC Heerenveen covers	Push	SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	24%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	16%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet

47% ✓

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.