Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
SBV Excelsior
1 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 13:30 UTC Van Donge and De Roo Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Edson Alvarez
Couhaib Driouech 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Van Donge and De Roo Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Referee Bas van Dongen
  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Referee Ingmar Oostrom
  • Referee Patrick Inia
  • Referee Dyon Fikkert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
4
4
SBV Excelsior 9 games · Avg 5.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax 2022-10-16 AFC Ajax 7–1 SBV Excelsior 2019-04-13 AFC Ajax 6–2 SBV Excelsior 2018-11-11 SBV Excelsior 1–7 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

SBV Excelsior
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan AFC Ajax H 1–4 L
25 Jan FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
14 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Jan FC Groningen H 1–0 W
13 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–5 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan SBV Excelsior A 4–1 W
26 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
14 Jan FC Twente '65 H 0–0 D
08 Jan NEC A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Emmen A 3–3 D

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#7 Position #5
11 Points 14
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 9
+6 GD +12
1.57 PPG 2.00
43% Win % 57%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G
AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SBV Excelsior is hosting AFC Ajax for another epic battle.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Devyne Rensch suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Dusan Tadic puts AFC Ajax on the lead.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' SBV Excelsior are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Reda Kharchouch has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 234 appearances.
  • 36' What composure from Redouan El Yaakoubi! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 41' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Davy Klaassen makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohammed Kudus made 6 appearances and scored 55 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Edson Alvarez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 58.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Couhaib Driouech argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 61' GOAL! Mohammed Kudus scores on 61.
  • 62' AFC Ajax make a change. Davy Klaassen trudges off to be replaced by Francisco Conceicao on 62 minutes.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SBV Excelsior side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' It is a substitution in SBV Excelsior team. Lazaros Lamprou is replaced by Mike van Duinen on 74 minute.
  • 79' The whistle greets Steven Berghuis as he departs to be replaced by Calvin Bassey.
  • 83' Devyne Rensch adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' It is a substitution in SBV Excelsior team. Marouan Azarkan is replaced by Reda Kharchouch on 84 minute.
  • 89' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marinus Dijkhuizen

AFC Ajax Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Johnny Heitinga

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Dusan Tadic 5
Brian Brobbey 4
Mohammed Kudus 3
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 3
Donny van de Beek 2
Kasper Dolberg 2
Jorge Sanchez 2
Nikolas Agrafiotis 2

Head to Head

2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax 2022-10-16 AFC Ajax 7–1 SBV Excelsior 2019-04-13 AFC Ajax 6–2 SBV Excelsior 2018-11-11 SBV Excelsior 1–7 AFC Ajax

SBV Excelsior Form

2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax L 2023-01-25 FC Utrecht 1–0 SBV Excelsior L 2023-01-20 SBV Excelsior 2–0 FC Volendam W 2023-01-14 Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 SBV Excelsior L 2023-01-08 SBV Excelsior 1–0 FC Groningen W 2022-11-13 Feyenoord Rotterdam 5–1 SBV Excelsior L

AFC Ajax Form

2023-01-29 SBV Excelsior 1–4 AFC Ajax W 2023-01-26 AFC Ajax 1–1 FC Volendam D 2023-01-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2023-01-14 AFC Ajax 0–0 FC Twente '65 D 2023-01-08 NEC 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2022-11-12 FC Emmen 3–3 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior22% Draw20% AFC Ajax58%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
42%
Draw or AFC Ajax
78%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior18% Draw34% AFC Ajax48%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
7.2%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 4
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
0 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 19% 45%
+1.5 55% — 45%
+2 55% 18% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.