Thursday , 2 July 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2022-23
1 4
Full Time
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 13:30 UTC Van Donge and De Roo Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Van Donge and De Roo Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Referee Bas van Dongen
  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Referee Ingmar Oostrom
  • Referee Patrick Inia
  • Referee Dyon Fikkert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan AFC Ajax H 1–4 L
25 Jan FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
14 Jan Sparta Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Jan FC Groningen H 1–0 W
13 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan SBV Excelsior A 4–1 W
26 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
14 Jan FC Twente '65 H 0–0 D
08 Jan NEC A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Emmen A 3–3 D

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AFC Ajax
#13 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SBV Excelsior are 13th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SBV Excelsior to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Goal! Dusan Tadic scores his 110 goal in 480 matches.
  • 20' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Owen Wijndal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Mohammed Kudus has been relatively quiet despite scoring 55 goals in his last 6 appearances.
  • 30' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Magnificent from Redouan El Yaakoubi! That is 5 goals in 137 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Sensational shot from Davy Klaassen. AFC Ajax is back in the lead.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marinus Dijkhuizen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Edson Alvarez.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Couhaib Driouech.
  • 61' GOAL! Mohammed Kudus scores on 61.
  • 62' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Francisco Conceicao comes on to replace Davy Klaassen.
  • 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' SBV Excelsior ring the changes. Lazaros Lamprou has done his job and it is now time for Mike van Duinen to step up.
  • 79' AFC Ajax make a change. Steven Berghuis trudges off to be replaced by Calvin Bassey on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Devyne Rensch doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' Reda Kharchouch is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marouan Azarkan at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.68 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior17% Draw25% AFC Ajax58%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
42%
Draw or AFC Ajax
83%
SBV Excelsior or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior10% Draw45% AFC Ajax45%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14%
0 – 2
13.4%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
8.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 25% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 20% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
16%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.