AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- RKC Waalwijk 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Bos
- Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
- Assistant 2 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Almere City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | SS Lazio | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Dec | AZ | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | FC Utrecht | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | AFC Ajax | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Dec | PEC Zwolle | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Ajax welcome RKC Waalwijk for this crunch clash at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- 4' Goal! Steven Berghuis scores his 86 goal in 330 matches.
- 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RKC Waalwijk that had 197 games and scored 250 goals.
- 14' Silvester van der Water needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 19' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 24' RKC Waalwijk started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' It’s high time Henk Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yassin Oukili made 282 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' Kenneth Taylor makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 46' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Jorrel Hato is replaced by Owen Wijndal.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 53' A change in the RKC Waalwijk ranks — Michiel Kramer exits the field as Oskar Zawada enters on 53.
- 58' Wout Weghorst is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brian Brobbey at the 58 minute mark.
- 63' The 25-year-old Liam van Gelderen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' Branco van den Boomen is replacing Jordan Henderson for the AFC Ajax side.
- 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 75' Chuba Akpom gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Mika Godts and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 82' It is a substitution in RKC Waalwijk team. Godfried Roemeratoe is replaced by Tim van de Loo on 82 minute.
- 86' Goal! Mohammed Ihattaren scores his 16 goal in 444 matches.
- 90' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 24
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 58'
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Wout Weghorst 58'
- 15
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↓ Owen Wijndal 46'
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Chuba Akpom 75'
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 46'
- 20
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 58'
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 75'
- 40
- 12
-
21
Branco van den Boomen ↑ 68'
- 13
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 58'
- 29
- 16
- 3
Coach
Francesco Farioli
RKC Waalwijk Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 28
- 18
- 24
-
29
Michiel Kramer ↓ Oskar Zawada 53'
- 52
- 19
- 6
- 34
- 13
- 4
- 33
Bench
- 17
-
2
Julian Lelieveld ↑ 46'
- 10
- 35
-
11
Alexander Jakobsen ↑ 68'
- 8
-
7
Denilho Cleonise ↑ 46'
- 1
-
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 53'
- 14
- 31
-
22
Tim van de Loo ↑ 82'
Coach
Henk Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Berghuis | 7 |
| Sebastien Haller | 6 |
| Brian Brobbey | 6 |
| Michiel Kramer | 5 |
| Dusan Tadic | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mats Seuntjens | 2 |
| Jurrien Timber | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
79%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
44%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | RKC Waalwijk covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.