Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,055 HT 45' · FT 45'
Steven Berghuis pen 4' 1–0
Kenneth Taylor 41' 2–0
2–1 86' Mohammed Ihattaren
Owen Wijndal 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs RKC WaalwijkEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Bos
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 2–1 W
22 Dec Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W
15 Dec Almere City FC H 3–0 W
12 Dec SS Lazio H 1–3 L
08 Dec AZ A 1–2 L
04 Dec FC Utrecht H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AFC Ajax A 1–2 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 1–1 D
14 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 2–3 L
07 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–3 L
29 Nov SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
23 Nov Heracles Almelo A 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AFC Ajax to score. At the same time, RKC Waalwijk does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' AFC Ajax is taking the lead after the goal scored by Steven Berghuis on 4.
  • 9' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 19' It’s high time Henk Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam van Gelderen made 480 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Goal! Kenneth Taylor scores his 33 goal in 480 matches.
  • 46' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 46 minute. Jorrel Hato leaves to be changed by Owen Wijndal.
  • 51' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 53' The supporters are chanting for Oskar Zawada. He replaces Michiel Kramer on 53 minute.
  • 58' Wout Weghorst has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Brobbey on 58 minute.
  • 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 68' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Jordan Henderson by Branco van den Boomen on 68 minute.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Chuba Akpom. He replaces Mika Godts on 75 minute.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tim van de Loo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 82' RKC Waalwijk manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tim van de Loo is hanging Godfried Roemeratoe on the field on 82 minute.
  • 86' Goal! Mohammed Ihattaren scores his 13 goal in 436 matches.
  • 90' Owen Wijndal is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RKC Waalwijk.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax56% Draw23% RKC Waalwijk21%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
79%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
44%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax38% Draw43% RKC Waalwijk19%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32%
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.