AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- RKC Waalwijk 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Bos
- Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
- Assistant 2 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)
7 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Almere City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | SS Lazio | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Dec | AZ | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | FC Utrecht | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | AFC Ajax | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Dec | PEC Zwolle | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena!
- 4' Steven Berghuis doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 9' With 3 assists to his name this season, Mohammed Ihattaren is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RKC Waalwijk.
- 14' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 19' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against RKC Waalwijk's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam van Gelderen made 489 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' Jorrel Hato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 489 appearances.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 41' Against the run of play, Kenneth Taylor has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Owen Wijndal. He replaces Jorrel Hato on 46 minute.
- 51' Netherlands international Devyne Rensch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' Oskar Zawada is replacing Michiel Kramer for the RKC Waalwijk side.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Wout Weghorst. He replaces Brian Brobbey on 58 minute.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 68' Branco van den Boomen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jordan Henderson at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 75' Mika Godts makes way for Chuba Akpom at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 80' Richonell Margaret is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
- 82' Another change for RKC Waalwijk made on 82 minute. Godfried Roemeratoe leaves to be changed by Tim van de Loo.
- 86' Brilliant from the ! Mohammed Ihattaren makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 86.
- 90' Poor challenge from Owen Wijndal. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Another three points for AFC Ajax.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 24
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 58'
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Wout Weghorst 58'
- 15
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↓ Owen Wijndal 46'
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Chuba Akpom 75'
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 46'
- 20
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 58'
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 75'
- 40
- 12
-
21
Branco van den Boomen ↑ 68'
- 13
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 58'
- 29
- 16
- 3
Coach
Francesco Farioli
RKC Waalwijk Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 28
- 18
- 24
-
29
Michiel Kramer ↓ Oskar Zawada 53'
- 52
- 19
- 6
- 34
- 13
- 4
- 33
Bench
- 17
-
2
Julian Lelieveld ↑ 46'
- 10
- 35
-
11
Alexander Jakobsen ↑ 68'
- 8
-
7
Denilho Cleonise ↑ 46'
- 1
-
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 53'
- 14
- 31
-
22
Tim van de Loo ↑ 82'
Coach
Henk Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Berghuis | 7 |
| Brian Brobbey | 6 |
| Sebastien Haller | 6 |
| Michiel Kramer | 5 |
| Dusan Tadic | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mats Seuntjens | 2 |
| Jurrien Timber | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
79%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
44%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | RKC Waalwijk covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.