Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
4 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Brobbey 9' 1–0
1–1 15' Michiel Kramer
Brian Brobbey 35' 2–1
Kristian Hlynsson 64' 3–1
Steven Berghuis 87' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs RKC WaalwijkEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Charles Schaap

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
12 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
16 Dec FC Utrecht A 1–1 D
10 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–3 L
02 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling RKC Waalwijk supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 9' Brian Brobbey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Yassin Oukili is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 15' Michiel Kramer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' What a strike from Brian Brobbey! The score is 2-1.
  • 38' AFC Ajax receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 48' AFC Ajax currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 53' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Tristan Gooijer departs to be replaced by Anton Gaaei.
  • 58' Ar'jany Martha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 62' The whistle greets Julian Lelieveld as he departs to be replaced by Chris Lokesa.
  • 64' What composure from Kristian Hlynsson! The Iceland international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 69' Ilias Takidine has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Kenneth Taylor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Aaron Meijers as he leaves the pitch. Reuven Niemeijer steps in for RKC Waalwijk.
  • 79' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Kristian Hlynsson exits the field as Forbs enters on 79.
  • 82' Another change for RKC Waalwijk made on 82 minute. Mats Seuntjens leaves to be changed by Ilias Takidine.
  • 87' What a moment for Steven Berghuis! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
  • AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax63% Draw21% RKC Waalwijk16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
84%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
37%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax43% Draw40% RKC Waalwijk17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33%
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.