Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
4 – 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Brobbey 9' 1–0
1–1 15' Michiel Kramer
Brian Brobbey 35' 2–1
Kristian Hlynsson 64' 3–1
Steven Berghuis 87' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Charles Schaap

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
12 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
16 Dec FC Utrecht A 1–1 D
10 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–3 L
02 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. RKC Waalwijk get us underway at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 9' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 14' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michiel Kramer makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' Sensational shot from Brian Brobbey. AFC Ajax is back in the lead.
  • 38' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Benjamin Tahirovic gets a Yellow card.
  • 43' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tristan Gooijer made 492 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' The whistle greets Tristan Gooijer as he departs to be replaced by Anton Gaaei.
  • 58' Shawn Adewoye has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' Chris Lokesa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Lelieveld on 62 minute.
  • 64' The deadlock is broken! Kristian Hlynsson gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Reuven Niemeijer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 76' Time for substitution for RKC Waalwijk. Aaron Meijers is replaced by Reuven Niemeijer.
  • 79' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Forbs on, Kristian Hlynsson off on 79 minutes.
  • 82' RKC Waalwijk manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilias Takidine is hanging Mats Seuntjens on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Steven Berghuis gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax63% Draw21% RKC Waalwijk16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
84%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
37%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax43% Draw40% RKC Waalwijk17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.