AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- RKC Waalwijk 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
- Assistant 2 Charles Schaap
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Dec | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Dec | PAE AEK | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | RKC Waalwijk | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | AFC Ajax | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jan | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | FC Utrecht | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | Fortuna Sittard | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. RKC Waalwijk get us underway at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 9' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
- 14' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michiel Kramer makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' Sensational shot from Brian Brobbey. AFC Ajax is back in the lead.
- 38' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Benjamin Tahirovic gets a Yellow card.
- 43' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tristan Gooijer made 492 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' The whistle greets Tristan Gooijer as he departs to be replaced by Anton Gaaei.
- 58' Shawn Adewoye has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 62' Chris Lokesa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Lelieveld on 62 minute.
- 64' The deadlock is broken! Kristian Hlynsson gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
- 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Reuven Niemeijer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 76' Time for substitution for RKC Waalwijk. Aaron Meijers is replaced by Reuven Niemeijer.
- 79' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Forbs on, Kristian Hlynsson off on 79 minutes.
- 82' RKC Waalwijk manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilias Takidine is hanging Mats Seuntjens on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' The deadlock is broken! Steven Berghuis gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 23
- 40
- 8
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Jaydon Banel 82'
- 33
- 4
- 38
-
47
Tristan Gooijer ↓ Anton Gaaei 53'
- 42
Bench
- 1
- 12
- 18
- 13
- 28
- 17
-
49
Jaydon Banel ↑ 82'
-
11
Carlos Forbs ↑ 79'
-
3
Anton Gaaei ↑ 53'
- 50
Coach
John van 't Schip
RKC Waalwijk Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
20
Mats Seuntjens ↓ Ilias Takidine 82'
-
28
Aaron Meijers ↓ Thierry Lutonda 76'
- 3
- 24
-
2
Julian Lelieveld ↓ Chris Lokesa 62'
- 1
- 23
- 29
- 4
- 7
- 6
Bench
- 13
-
27
Reuven Niemeijer ↑ 76'
- 11
- 10
- 35
-
5
Thierry Lutonda ↑ 76'
- 8
-
20
Ilias Takidine ↑ 82'
- 21
-
14
Chris Lokesa ↑ 62'
Coach
Henk Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Berghuis | 7 |
| Sebastien Haller | 6 |
| Brian Brobbey | 6 |
| Michiel Kramer | 5 |
| Dusan Tadic | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mats Seuntjens | 2 |
| Jurrien Timber | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
84%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
37%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | RKC Waalwijk covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

