Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
4 – 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Jan 2024 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian Brobbey 9' 1–0
1–1 15' Michiel Kramer
Brian Brobbey 35' 2–1
Kristian Hlynsson 64' 3–1
Steven Berghuis 87' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Charles Schaap

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W
06 Dec RKC Waalwijk A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
12 Jan Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
16 Dec FC Utrecht A 1–1 D
10 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
06 Dec AFC Ajax H 2–3 L
02 Dec SBV Excelsior H 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Ajax welcome RKC Waalwijk for this crunch clash at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 9' What a strike from Brian Brobbey! The score is 1-0.
  • 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Michiel Kramer doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Jorrel Hato is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RKC Waalwijk tonight.
  • 35' A stunning finish from Brian Brobbey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 38' Benjamin Tahirovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 38.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 48' Tristan Gooijer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 53' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Anton Gaaei on, Tristan Gooijer off on 53 minutes.
  • 58' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Diant Ramaj has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' A tactical swap from RKC Waalwijk — Chris Lokesa on, Julian Lelieveld off on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Kristian Hlynsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 483 games and scored 824 goals.
  • 74' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 76' A change in the RKC Waalwijk ranks — Aaron Meijers exits the field as Reuven Niemeijer enters on 76.
  • 79' Forbs is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kristian Hlynsson at the 79 minute mark.
  • 82' Another change for RKC Waalwijk made on 82 minute. Mats Seuntjens leaves to be changed by Ilias Takidine.
  • 87' Steven Berghuis adds to his 1 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AFC Ajax 4-1 RKC Waalwijk.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.15 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax63% Draw21% RKC Waalwijk16%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
84%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
37%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax43% Draw40% RKC Waalwijk17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.