Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 17:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,055 HT 45' · FT 45'
Steven Berghuis pen 4' 1–0
Kenneth Taylor 41' 2–0
2–1 86' Mohammed Ihattaren
Owen Wijndal 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs RKC WaalwijkEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Bos
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 2–1 W
22 Dec Sparta Rotterdam A 2–0 W
15 Dec Almere City FC H 3–0 W
12 Dec SS Lazio H 1–3 L
08 Dec AZ A 1–2 L
04 Dec FC Utrecht H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AFC Ajax A 1–2 L
20 Dec PEC Zwolle H 1–1 D
14 Dec Fortuna Sittard A 2–3 L
07 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–3 L
29 Nov SC Heerenveen A 1–1 D
23 Nov Heracles Almelo A 2–2 D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Johan Cruijff Arena will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk.
  • 4' AFC Ajax is taking the lead after the goal scored by Steven Berghuis on 4.
  • 9' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 19' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 24' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against RKC Waalwijk's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and RKC Waalwijk are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past RKC Waalwijk's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 41' What a strike from Kenneth Taylor! The score is 2-0.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Owen Wijndal. He replaces Jorrel Hato on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' Oskar Zawada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Michiel Kramer at the 53 minute mark.
  • 58' Wout Weghorst is replacing Brian Brobbey for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' Branco van den Boomen is replacing Jordan Henderson for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mohammed Ihattaren suffering a number of foals already.
  • 75' A tactical swap from AFC AjaxChuba Akpom on, Mika Godts off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' RKC Waalwijk is showing some good football. However, RKC Waalwijk are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' Tim van de Loo is replacing Godfried Roemeratoe for the RKC Waalwijk side.
  • 86' Against the run of play, Mohammed Ihattaren has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a card on 90.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 RKC Waalwijk xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax56% Draw23% RKC Waalwijk21%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
79%
Draw or RKC Waalwijk
44%
AFC Ajax or RKC Waalwijk
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax38% Draw43% RKC Waalwijk19%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push RKC Waalwijk covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32%
RKC Waalwijk keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.